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The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century Paperback – January 26, 2010

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George Friedman (Author)
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4.1 out of 5 stars 523 customer reviews
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Product Details

  • Paperback: 253 pages
  • Publisher: Anchor; 1 Reprint edition (January 26, 2010)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 9780767923057
  • ISBN-13: 978-0767923057
  • ASIN: 0767923057
  • Product Dimensions: 5.2 x 0.9 x 8 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 9.6 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)
  • Average Customer Review: 4.1 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (523 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #16,061 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

Customer Reviews

Top Customer Reviews

2.0 out of 5 starsPredictio ad Absurdum
By Dianne Roberts on February 26, 2009
Format: Hardcover Verified Purchase
Although I am a large fan of America's Secret War and respect Mr. Friedman's logical thinking and intelligence, this book is an undertaking so far beyond the capability of man -trying to outline how the next 100 years of history will look- that even though it started off captivating it ultimately left me feeling like the whole thing was a fool's errand. It's not that the author is illogical or a nutcase as some of the negative reviewers have suggested, it's just that there's no way to meaningfully try to predict the simply unpredictable, regardless of the complexity of your analysis. And as the author stretches his future history farther and farther away from the present it simply becomes an implausibility on top of an implausibility on top of another implausibility to the point that any value the reader could derive nearly evaporates and I wish I had spent my time reading actual history.

Of course the author believes some rough prediction of the future is possible based on trends analysis, an understanding of strategic nature, and other such information. I immediately concede that trying to predict the future is not only necessary as a basis for security planning but can be done profitably over maybe 10 years, 20 at the extreme, but only if you build in a huge amount of risk management / "reserve" into your planning results to account for the inevitable unexpected. Thus my critique is simply with the overly ambitious timeline of the author rather than the endeavor itself.

There are some positives of the book which were informative and argue in favor of reading perhaps the first half for pertinent information and analysis.Read more ›
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4.0 out of 5 starsPlaying with the crystal ball
By Alaturka on August 1, 2009
Format: Hardcover
If it were not for the background and the reputation of the author, it would be easy to dismiss this book as surreal and way too imaginative. On the other hand Friedman should be commended for having the courage to look into the far future, beyond current trends and fads, and giving us a taste of international developments likely to happen within the next century.

He does a good job in preparing the reader to expect the unexpected to happen based on past history. What may sound silly now, may in fact be feasible in the future, and not necessarily far future either.

Pages are packed with very interesting insights and not surprisingly, USA is the center of history in the 21st century. Was 20th century not an American century also? Other players come on to the stage though, and as a Turk, I was really puzzled by his assertion of Turkey becoming a key global power player. It is hard to imagine now Turkey becoming much more than a regional superpower within next 50 years. It would require a succesful reformation movement in Islam for a non-Arab Muslim country to be able to lead the Muslim block, not to mention a reduction of oil based wealth creation in key Arab states that would force them to look for alliances beyond USA.

He makes a case for how the shift in demographics, mainly the drastic drop in birth rates, will alter how the history flows. His arguments and methods give us a glimpse of how a professional analyst applies his trade.

I did not agree with some of the technology related predictions and analysis. This seems his weakness and he was way off. Nuclear power will dominate for sure before we beam in microwave power from space. Solar energy is not free, except for solar heating.Read more ›
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5.0 out of 5 starsIs This How It Will Go?
By Eric Mayforth on January 27, 2009
Format: Hardcover
When one takes into account the staggering advances that took place in the nineteenth and twentieth centuries, it is a brave forecaster who would even attempt to predict the course of our (still relatively) new century. George Friedman undertakes this task in "The Next 100 Years".

Friedman opens by taking the reader through the twentieth century at twenty-year intervals, showing how the concerns in any given time period are quickly forgotten and replaced by new concerns. This prepares the reader to see that the twenty-first century will also be anything but static, either, as America will not be facing the same set of challenges by 2020 as we did on September 11, 2001, and will be dealing with many different issues as the century progresses.

The author is a very incisive thinker, relaying stunning insight after stunning insight in demonstrating how we arrived at where we are now, with Europe having been supplanted by America as the world's focal point.

Friedman contends that, far from declining (as many fear), America is just beginning its rise. The century will be characterized, he predicts, by regional powers attempting to form coalitions to limit American power, and America attempting to prevent the formation of such coalitions. This will ultimately result at mid-century in a war that will have many similarities with World War II--the war will begin with a surprise attack on a key American military target, will be fought against a familiar foe, will result in the development of stunning new technologies, and will be followed by a new golden age redolent of the one following World War II.Read more ›
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Most Recent Customer Reviews

5.0 out of 5 starsFive Stars

great book

Published 21 days ago by Larry Shoger
5.0 out of 5 starsa look into the future.

Scary but an interesting read. George Friedman definitely sees what's coming.

Published 24 days ago by Susan McCann
2.0 out of 5 starsMany ludicrous predictions with a lack of understanding of science

The book makes somewhat of a reasonable assessment of geopolitics in the first half of the book and then goes to make absurd predictions in the other half. Read more

Published 1 month ago by Yaqub Ali
4.0 out of 5 starsLooking forward

This is a sobering view of our future. It gives us all a lot to think about and the possibilities are rationally presented.

Published 1 month ago by Gary L. Phelps
3.0 out of 5 starsThe map on page 36, has errors.

The Map on page 36, has some careless errors. The Philippines, Ethiopia, Eritrea, and Sri Lanka (Ceylon) should NOT be marked (shaded) as Islamic on the map. Read more

Published 1 month ago by W. Barber
4.0 out of 5 starsEUROPE/THE MIGRATION PROBLEM MIGHT CHANGE HOW THE WORLD LOOKS

very interesting reading. However, as issues change rapidly in the world, I believe things might take a different turn if Trump becomes president. Read more

Published 1 month ago by Pretty
4.0 out of 5 starsFascinating look at applying history to the future

There is quite a bit of thought-provoking information in George Friedman's speculative work on what we can look forward to in the next 100 years. Read more

Published 1 month ago by J. Foster
3.0 out of 5 starsNext 10 years was much better.

Not his usual self. Too specilative and much is written duplicating previous historical trends. Next 10 years was much better.

Published 1 month ago by Gabriel Echavarria
5.0 out of 5 starsGeopolitics and the future.

Excellent projection of the World geopolitics deep into the future. Friedman and his coharts stay in contact with the geopolitical status of the most significant nations in the... Read more

Published 1 month ago by Amazon Customer
5.0 out of 5 starsWOW.....George Friedman = Modern Nostradamus?

After reading this book, I wasn't sure if I wanted to be scared, optimistic, proud to be an American, or if I was simply mystified by the analysis of the author. Read more

Published 1 month ago by TG RabidBeaver

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