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Jonathan D. Pollack

No Exit: North Korea, Nuclear Weapons and International Security (Adelphi Book 418) Kindle Edition

by Jonathan D. Pollack (Author) Format: Kindle Edition

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Part of: Adelphi (159 books)

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Locked in antagonistic rivalry with neighbouring powers, North Korea has staked its future on the development of nuclear weapons, to the outrage of the international community. The Kim family’s dominance of the DPRK since 1948 has confounded its critics and frustrated its allies in equal measure. Despite its dependence on economic aid from the former USSR and China, and later the USA, it pursues its nuclear ambitions at all costs. The regime has reneged on its nuclear and non-proliferation commitments, apparently only returning to the table to buy time to carry on building and testing weapons technologies.
But what motivates Pyongyang to disregard UN censure and circumvent its sanctions, selling weapons and technology to fund its nuclear programme? Why does it remain one of the world’s most militaristic societies, through years of economic penury and hardship? And after two nuclear tests and repeated incidents between the forces of the ROK and the DPRK, what are the prospects for peace and stability on the peninsula? In this account of the regime, the Kims’ deep investment in nationalism is analysed in the context of the great political upheavals of the Cold War, the collapse of the USSR and the rise of China. This Adelphi looks at the events and ideas that shaped North Korean identity, as well as the factors influencing the great powers’ reactions.

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Publication date

April 8, 2014
Part of series

Adelphi
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English
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964 KB
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Editorial Reviews

About the Author

Jonathan D. Pollack is Professor of Asian and Pacific Studies at the Naval War College, Newport, Rhode Island.

--This text refers to the hardcover edition.

Product details

ASIN ‏ : ‎ B00JKNRCZY
Publisher ‏ : ‎ The International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) (April 8, 2014)
Publication date ‏ : ‎ April 8, 2014
Language ‏ : ‎ English
File size ‏ : ‎ 964 KB
Text-to-Speech ‏ : ‎ Enabled
Screen Reader ‏ : ‎ Supported
Enhanced typesetting ‏ : ‎ Enabled
X-Ray ‏ : ‎ Not Enabled
Word Wise ‏ : ‎ Enabled
Sticky notes ‏ : ‎ On Kindle Scribe
Print length ‏ : ‎ 249 pages

Best Sellers Rank: #2,040,513 in Kindle Store (See Top 100 in Kindle Store)
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- #3,011 in International Relations (Kindle Store)

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David Straub

Best analysis available of North Korea's nuclear weapons ambitions

Reviewed in the United States on August 15, 2011

Verified Purchase

Jonathan Pollack's concise new book No Exit offers the soundest analysis available of why North Korea has been developing nuclear weapons and why it is very unlikely to negotiate them away. Pollack has done an extraordinary job of both synthesizing the work of others and reflecting his own extensive research, including especially valuable interviews with Chinese officials and experts. This is must-reading for officials, scholars, students, and interested lay people.

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SJ

Rare but convincing perspective on North Korea's nuclear program

Reviewed in the United States on August 7, 2012

North Korea is of perennial security concern to both its neighbors and the United States. North Korea is the only state that has ever withdrawn from the Nonproliferation Treaty and reneged on every denuclearization agreement it had ever signed. In late 2010, satellite data indicated that North Korea possessed a uranium enrichment facility, and now a potential third nuclear test is underway. No Exit: North Korea, Nuclear Weapons and International Security is one of the few books to date in the English language that provides a detailed, beyond-the-Beltway account of North Korea's history, leadership, and nuclear development. With the belief that the how and why of the Korean nuclear impasse must begin with the North Korean system and its history, author Jonathan Pollack consults Cold War archives, interviews, and technical history, among others, to weave together the history of North Korea and its nuclear program from its origins through 2010.

Pollack starts out by elaborating on the Korea-first identity, the very notion on which North Korea was built. North Korea has its own distinctive version of adversarial nationalism that legitimized the state in an internal context and provided the foundation upon which it interacted with the outside world. After fighting guerrilla wars in Manchuria in his early life, the Great Leader Kim Il-sung saw himself as a survivor in a hostile world. Returning to Korea after 26 years in exile, he established the Korean People's Army (KPA) and later founded the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK). He distrusted those outside his immediate circle of subordinates. Thus, echoing the Korean dynastic tradition of hereditary rule, Kim established that power should be passed from father to son, an accomplishment unprecedented in Marxist-Leninist history. He introduced the highly enforced ideology of juche. Though often translated as "self-reliance," it is better characterized as "self-determination," meaning that North Korea can get whatever it needs from different sources in the international system but external factors do not control its fate.

Kim wanted to make North Korea an impregnable fortress answerable to no outside forces, and nuclear weapons were a large part of the strategy. It is not yet known when exactly Kim made the decision to develop a nuclear program in North Korea, though it was probably in the early 1970s when China and the former Soviet Union began to pursue détente with the United States. To provide the context of North Korea's nuclear development, Pollack tries to avoid making assumptions but draws significantly upon sources from within North Korea, including the official daily newspaper Rodong Sinmun, news from the Korean Central News Agency (KCNA), official statements of the DPRK Foreign Ministry, and interviews with Korean and Chinese experts who had been highly involved in the North's nuclear development. According to Pollack's analysis, Kim Il-sung had three major considerations for nuclear development. First, he was doubtful of Beijing's and Moscow's unconditional and indefinite support of his ambitions and plans. He was also envious and fearful of the South's covert nuclear activities. Finally, the North Korean leader was gravely concerned about his regime's longer-term prospects, especially the impending leadership succession. Kim decided that North Korean power, identity, strategic interests, and longevity would be better preserved with nuclear weapons than without.

The North's sense of crisis was reignited when the communist world began to witness sea changes in the late 1980s. Accompanied by the growing urgency of leadership succession in the early 1990s, North Korea announced its withdrawal from the Nonproliferation Treaty in 1993. The Great Leader passed away the following year. With the death of Kim Il-sung, Pollack warns that the door to definitive denuclearization may have closed, considering that Kim Il-sung was the leader with the stature to engage in high-level nuclear diplomacy and to possibly consider the ultimate abandonment of nuclear weapons.

In conclusion, Pollack rightly suggests that any assessment of the nuclear issue must begin with the future of North Korea itself. Pollack identifies a collective failure of the international community to prevent or inhibit North Korean nuclear development. During this period, North Korea has become more invested in a nuclear identity. As it stands now, North Korea does not feel under any acute pressure to abandon its nuclear capabilities. Pollack suggests that seeking "moral clarity" solely from the U.S. vantage point and acting hostilely toward North Korea are not only futile but also dangerous. Practicing "strategic patience" is far from enough either, considering that China remains prepared to serve as North Korea's last resort. Discussion with North Korea may be more fruitful than discussion about North Korea.

This book is a great resource for anyone who wants to learn more about the North Korean nuclear strategy in both the academic and policy realms. It is mostly told from the Korean vantage point, so it serves as a useful complement to the relatively rich, inside-the-Beltway literature on the development of U.S. policy toward North Korea. Only with a good understanding of the North Korean ideology can the U.S. and the international community produce effective policy to halt nuclear buildup in North Korea and possibly denuclearize the Korean peninsula when windows of opportunity emerge.

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NJ Bob

Before buying, look at publication date

Reviewed in the United States on August 16, 2017

Note that this book was originally published in 2011, not 2014. It is now 2017 and quite a lot has happened since 2011. It was a fine book six years ago, but unless this is a revised 2017 edition (which I doubt).......

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Toby Fenwick

From 2012 but still extremely useful

Reviewed in the United Kingdom on October 17, 2022

Verified Purchase

Going into the 'why' of the DPRK nuclear programme, this is illuminating and remains a standard text. It would be great to see an updated version!

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