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Phishing for Phools: The Economics of Manipulation and Deception Paperback – August 16, 2016
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George A. Akerlof
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Print length288 pages
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LanguageEnglish
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PublisherPrinceton University Press
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Publication dateAugust 16, 2016
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Dimensions5.25 x 0.66 x 8 inches
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ISBN-100691173028
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ISBN-13978-0691173023
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Editorial Reviews
Review
"The book is the result of deep thinking and presented in an entertaining and easy-to-grasp manner."---Leonhard K. Lades, Journal of Bioeconomics
"An interesting and entertaining new book by George Akerlof and Robert Shiller looks at the role of trickery in market economies. Phishing for Phools explains that sellers are often out to deceive you, and shows that this isn't an occasional glitch in the market system so much as an intrinsic and pervasive trait. . . . Phishing for Phools aims to help readers understand their psychological weaknesses, so that the phishermen can be phended off more ephectively."---Clive Crook, Bloomberg View
"Bob and George urge us to slap Adam Smith's invisible hand when it steals from everybody's cookie jar. They ask us to ponder those situations, economic or political, that provide particularly tempting opportunities to phish for phools. . . . Penetrating insights rendered in accessible prose."---Marlene Lang May, Commonweal
"Akerlof and Shiller show that unregulated free markets systematically make people worse off by providing the unscrupulous with opportunities to take advantage of the unwary."---Adam Bouyamourn, The National
"George A. Akerlof, Co-Winner of the 2001 Nobel Prize in Economics"
"George Akerlof and Robert Shiller, two of the biggest names in economics for the past half century, take aim at the widespread assumption that free markets ted to produce the best outcomes."---Adam Creighton, The Australian
"One of The Independent’s Best Economics Books 2015"
"This unusual book offers a simple but challenging corrective to the assumptions made by most mainstream economists. . . . Probably not every reader will agree with every interpretation or argument--but every reader will find something that enlightens and stimulates."---James Ledbetter, Yale Alumni Magazine
"Winner of the 2016 Gold Medal in Economics, Axiom Business Book Awards"
Review
"Phishing for Phools is an intellectual tour de force. It may change your image of the invisible hand into an invisible phoot, always looking to trip you up. Read it for phun; read it for wisdom."―Alan S. Blinder, author of After the Music Stopped: The Financial Crisis, the Response, and the Work Ahead
"A phabulous book! This is economics after the behavioral revolution at its best."―Samuel Bowles, Santa Fe Institute
"Akerlof and Shiller provide a phenomenal guide to the pitfalls of the phree market. This redemptive revision of economic theory explains the built-in risks of rip-offs in a profit-maximizing world."―Nancy Folbre, professor emerita, University of Massachusetts, Amherst
"As Akerlof and Shiller remind us, the same incentives that lead sellers to introduce innovations that improve quality and reduce costs also ensure that no profitable opportunity to cheat us will remain unexploited. This highly readable and insightful book will transform how we think about the role of government."―Robert H. Frank, author of The Economic Naturalist
"Akerlof and Shiller extend the standard ‘market failure' theory―which says that there is a potential role for government intervention when markets fail―by showing that markets fail not only because of the familiar reasons of externalities and unfair income distribution, but also because of the pervasive phenomenon of ‘phishing for phools' (profit-seeking through manipulation and deception). They point the way to a new paradigm freed from the constraints of market failure theory, able to illuminate ‘control by capital' (partly through phishing) and to prescribe for ‘control of capital' (partly by techniques for limiting phishing suggested here)."―Robert H. Wade, London School of Economics
"This insightful book exposes a fundamental contradiction in the market system. Consumers and policymakers beware: profit-seeking businesses foster efficiency and innovation, but have strong incentives to manipulate you and sophisticated new data tools allow them to do so in personalized ways."―Laura D'Andrea Tyson, University of California, Berkeley
"This fun but serious book tells how the standard story about free markets often gets it wrong. Indeed, Akerlof and Shiller suggest that we should drop the view of markets as generally benign institutions. The argument is laid out with the help of fascinating anecdotes, the language is conversational, and the book is easy to read. It is addressed to a broad audience, but economists will enjoy it too."―Dani Rodrik, author of The Globalization Paradox
"Phishing for Phools is a coherent and highly plausible explanation of why markets―although usually beneficial―can lead to undesirable outcomes. The book takes an intriguing approach and gives many interesting examples."―Diane Coyle, author of GDP: A Brief but Affectionate History
From the Back Cover
"In an entertaining and lively account, Akerlof and Shiller show that while the pursuit of profits may lead to products that enrich our lives, it may also lead to manipulation and deception. Much of recent innovation has led to products that make cheating the public easier. The implications are complex and profound."--Joseph E. Stiglitz, Nobel Laureate in Economics
"Phishing for Phools is an intellectual tour de force. It may change your image of the invisible hand into an invisible phoot, always looking to trip you up. Read it for phun; read it for wisdom."--Alan S. Blinder, author of After the Music Stopped: The Financial Crisis, the Response, and the Work Ahead
"A phabulous book! This is economics after the behavioral revolution at its best."--Samuel Bowles, Santa Fe Institute
"Akerlof and Shiller provide a phenomenal guide to the pitfalls of the phree market. This redemptive revision of economic theory explains the built-in risks of rip-offs in a profit-maximizing world."--Nancy Folbre, professor emerita, University of Massachusetts, Amherst
"As Akerlof and Shiller remind us, the same incentives that lead sellers to introduce innovations that improve quality and reduce costs also ensure that no profitable opportunity to cheat us will remain unexploited. This highly readable and insightful book will transform how we think about the role of government."--Robert H. Frank, author of The Economic Naturalist
"Akerlof and Shiller extend the standard 'market failure' theory--which says that there is a potential role for government intervention when markets fail--by showing that markets fail not only because of the familiar reasons of externalities and unfair income distribution, but also because of the pervasive phenomenon of 'phishing for phools' (profit-seeking through manipulation and deception). They point the way to a new paradigm freed from the constraints of market failure theory, able to illuminate 'control by capital' (partly through phishing) and to prescribe for 'control of capital' (partly by techniques for limiting phishing suggested here)."--Robert H. Wade, London School of Economics
"This insightful book exposes a fundamental contradiction in the market system. Consumers and policymakers beware: profit-seeking businesses foster efficiency and innovation, but have strong incentives to manipulate you and sophisticated new data tools allow them to do so in personalized ways."--Laura D'Andrea Tyson, University of California, Berkeley
"This fun but serious book tells how the standard story about free markets often gets it wrong. Indeed, Akerlof and Shiller suggest that we should drop the view of markets as generally benign institutions. The argument is laid out with the help of fascinating anecdotes, the language is conversational, and the book is easy to read. It is addressed to a broad audience, but economists will enjoy it too."--Dani Rodrik, author of The Globalization Paradox
"Phishing for Phools is a coherent and highly plausible explanation of why markets--although usually beneficial--can lead to undesirable outcomes. The book takes an intriguing approach and gives many interesting examples."--Diane Coyle, author of GDP: A Brief but Affectionate History
About the Author
Product details
- Publisher : Princeton University Press; Reprint edition (August 16, 2016)
- Language : English
- Paperback : 288 pages
- ISBN-10 : 0691173028
- ISBN-13 : 978-0691173023
- Item Weight : 9 ounces
- Dimensions : 5.25 x 0.66 x 8 inches
-
Best Sellers Rank:
#95,474 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
- #110 in Free Enterprise & Capitalism
- #166 in Marketing & Consumer Behavior
- #557 in Medical General Psychology
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The simple model of the free market is that everyone operates in their own self-interest. The reality is that trickery and deception sometimes persuade us to make decisions contrary to our interest. Phishermen inevitably arise to profitably exploit our cognitive biases and lack of information about certain goods and services. Entrepreneurs pursue profits, and taking advantage of customer’s naiveté is part of the free market’s double-edged sword. The free market creates a strong incentive to make profits, but does not reward those who refrain from manipulative tactics used by their competitors.
We regularly make decisions that aren’t good for us, whether it is saving too little for retirement, foregoing medical checkups, overusing credit cards, and so on. Marketing influences our decisions. Advertising often contains misleading, if not downright false, claims, so long as those claims elicit sales. Advertising is based upon what works, even when the targets are children. “Let the buyer beware” is still alive and well.
Phishing for Phools provides dozens of examples of practices and scams, some legal and some not, that manipulate the unwary into acting contrary to their interests. One example is the slot machine, which was invented in 1893. Exploiting human weakness, the new machines were soon found to be addictive to some of their users. One writer says they were “addictive by design.”
Another example was the savings and loan and junk bond crises of the 1980s. Next came the rise of Enron, which was based upon bogus accounting. Then the Bernie Madoff pyramid scheme. The 2007 bursting of the housing bubble stemmed from undeserved high ratings for mortgage-related securities.
Government regulation is either a needless drag on the economy, or an essential protection of the public interest. Akerlof and Schiller make the case for the latter, and do so by describing how “our free market system tends to spawn manipulation and deception.” They recognize the influence that regulated industries have upon regulators. Big Pharma, for example, spends more on lobbying than any other industry. The authors nonetheless maintain that regulation protects the public interest, even if that protection is inconsistent and less than it should be.
When Reagan declared that government is the problem not the solution, he led an era of deregulation. There has also been diminished funding for regulatory agencies, which limits their effectiveness. Fewer IRS agents means that hundreds of billions of dollars are uncollected each year because there aren’t enough people to collect them. When it comes to financial crimes, the regulators today typically fine the companies rather than prosecute individuals. One reason is that individual prosecution is more expensive. On the other hand, company fines are seen as a cost of doing business, and are a weaker deterrent than the threat of prison.
This book’s main point is that, “Free markets make people free to choose, but they also make them free to phish, and free to be phished.” The market is a double-edged sword. When the public recognizes that reality, there will be more support for government regulators to protect the public from phishing. ###
Without mentioning Marx, nor certainly without being Marxists, Akerlof and Shiller are "rediscovering" many of the basic truths of Marxism and then adding on an informational Marxism (information "haves" vs. information "have nots").
Instability of markets? Check.
Information haves vs. information have-not's? Check.
Opiate of the people? Check.
The production of an ideology to support capitalism that makes even those at the bottom "support" it? A.K.A. Antonio Gramsci? Check.
Instabilities, Inequities, and Informational Inbalances
The anecdotes of the book are a tale of instability, inequity and informational imbalance. They make a wonderful read. And to those of us who lived through the Financial Crisis and subsequent Great Recession, remind us of how the reputations of the bond raters were "phished" to make millions for the few yet cause misery for the masses. Not to mention how the capitalist state "came to the rescue" of capitalists and capitalism itself.
I am not a Marxist - don't get me wrong. I am a believer in capitalism and a conservative in the traditional (not American) sense of the word.
Perhaps Phishing for Phools is a small step towards a rediscovery of the instabilities and inequities that bedevil the capitalist system as well as a first step towards an intellectual framework that is non-Marxist yet cognizant of how unstable things really are.
I highly recommend the book. It's fun, it's easy-to-read, and when you really think about it... it gets you to think in a foundational way about what's fundamentally wrong with our current economic and political system.
Top reviews from other countries
The book's definition of a phool is "a phool is someone who, for whatever reason, is successfully phished. There are two kinds of phool: psychological and informational. Psychological phools, in turn, come in two types. In one case, the emotions of a psychological phool override the dictates of his common sense. In the other case, cognitive biases, which are like optical illusions, lead him to misinterpret reality, and he acts on the basis of that misinterpretation." A slot machine junkie would be an example of a emotional phool (because they know they are addicted but cannot stop) and a information phool example would be a person tricked by the fake accounting of Enron.
Examples of phishing in medicine, food, politics, banking and other sections of society are given.
A shocking example is the unsafe medicine Vioxx where dubious tactics where used to get it on to the market resulting in an estimated 26,000 to 56,000 cardiovascular deaths in the United States. Another good example is how the subprime mortgage scandal was caused by mixing of subprime mortgages with normal mortgages and claiming they were as trustworthy. These show how common phishing is and the huge damage to people's lives it can cause.
The book argues that competitive pressure among business can force them to phish in order to stay in business or create entire new markets totally from phishing. The authors believe that ultimately markets have failed to regulate themselves so we need government regulation to protect the customer. Examples of successful regulation of industry are given.
My criticism of this book would be that it would be nice if it was more detailed, at about 280 pages of which over half is bibliography or index means the descriptions of the scams can be a bit brief, for example the description of the phishing of the food industry is basically they put lots of sugar, salt and fat in their foods to get you addicted for more details read "Salt, Sugar, Fat: How the Food Giants Hooked Us " by Michael Moss.
Overall this book is a good (if rather short) read and the huge bibliography would make a excellent starting point for more detailed study.
Rather than positing that all trade is good for me, good for you, the book examines the ubiquitous, though not too often discussed, phenomena, that many transactions are good for me, bad for you.
Akerlof and Shiller use the analogy of "the monkey on one's shoulder" and examine a variety of scenarios in modern life, through the often difficult to cancel gym memberships, to the discrepancies between popular perceptions on smoking (almost universally regarded as unhealthy, and by many as dumb) but the equally harmful practice of alcohol consumption, which is not nearly as frowned upon as smoking.
Another interesting aspect of behavioural economics is the targeting of black customers by user car salesmen as they are aware that blacks are less likely to already be in possession of a vehicle, thereby having less mobility to shop around.
While this may be similar in scope and idea to Freakonomics, there are subtle differences., and not just the authors of this book being Nobel Laureates.
A key strength of Phishing for Phools is the examination of the causes of the crash of 2008, and how they liken the selling of faulty loans and toxic mortgage backed securities as the psychological manipulation of grocery sellers convincing customers to buy bad avocados.
Overall, Phishing for Phools is an important book in a behavioural science and economic revolution. We need very much to change our thinking to become responsible adults who live within our means and not lead reckless lives of economic speculation.
The only quibble is that the book can be difficult to follow at times, and one can find oneself getting lost.
Phishing for Phools is an eye opener, and an important work in behavioural economics.
To see why this is so, consider why economics likes free markets. When two parties freely enter into an exchange, it is because each side benefits. Provided this exchange does not leave the rest of the world worse off ('externalities') such as happens in the guns-for-nutters market this has the effect of increasing welfare. When we run out of exchanges pairs of parties find attractive ... well no redistibution is possible which does not have the effect of leaving somebody worse off. This seems fairly convincing. But hold on a moment: parties enter into exchanges not because they will each benefit but because they each THINK they will benefit. It is not inevitable that when we think we are going to benefit that we will actually do so ... we may be phooled. This has the effect of draining benefit from the unsophisticated and ill-informed phools in the face of the more sophisticated and better-informed. Further, the usual sequel to the 'free market exchanges are good' argument is that economic output is continually being reshaped to take advantage by providing desirable products. But this 'taking advantage' applies to phishes, those exchanges we find attractive but which do not benefit us, no less than other product offerings. Innovation occurs in phishing no less than other directions.
Is 'phishing for phools' really ubiquitous? Most of this book is about providing examples. Here with chapter numbers are the example categories: 3. advertising; 4. cars, housing and credit cards; 5. politics; 6. food and drugs; 7. technology; 8. tobacco and alcohol; 9. savings and loans (the US equivalents of building societies) and 10. junk bonds. None of the example material is new but it is well-told, entertaining and highly suggestive that pathology is intrinsic to free-markets rather than being exceptional.
Ok, what else to say? This is actually quite a short book ... the acknowledgements start on page 175 though with a sizeable chunk of notes to follow. It is written by two Nobel prize winners in economics, so this is a challenge to orthodoxy from the centre rather than from the fringe. Also worth noting is that they write well and there is nothing the least bit technical about the telling. All in all, an entertaining proposal for a paradigm-shift regarding free markets.
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