& FREE Returns

FREE delivery: Monday, Nov 8 Details

Fastest delivery: Friday, Nov 5
Order within 11 hrs and 32 mins Details

In Stock.

As an alternative, the Kindle eBook is available now and can be read on any device with the free Kindle app.

$$26.00 () Includes selected options. Includes initial monthly payment and selected options. Details

Secure transaction

Ships from

Amazon.com

Sold by

Amazon.com

Details

Ships from

Amazon.com

Sold by

Amazon.com

Return policy: Returnable until Jan 31, 2022

1-Click ordering is not available for this item.

Add a gift receipt for easy returns

Get Fast, Free Shipping with Amazon Prime

FREE delivery: Monday, Nov 8 on orders over $25.00 shipped by Amazon. Details

Fastest delivery: Friday, Nov 5
Order within 11 hrs and 32 mins Details

Used: Good | Details

Sold by Gotta have it!

Fulfilled by Amazon

Share <Embed>

Flip to back Flip to front

Listen Playing... Paused You're listening to a sample of the Audible audio edition.
Learn more

See all 2 images

Predicting the Next President Paperback – May 13, 2016

by Allan Lichtman (Author)

31 ratings

See all formats and editions

Price

New from

Used from

Kindle

"Please retry"

$24.50

—

Paperback

"Please retry"

$26.00

$3.55

Enhance your purchase

In Predicting the Next President political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or “keys” (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections.

Print length

240 pages
Language

English
Publication date

May 13, 2016
Dimensions

6.02 x 0.6 x 9.01 inches
ISBN-10

1442269200
ISBN-13

978-1442269200
See all details

Frequently bought together

Customers who viewed this item also viewed

Page 1 of 1 Start overPage 1 of 1

Allan J. Lichtman
76
Paperback
30 offers from $12.47

What other items do customers buy after viewing this item?

Page 1 of 1 Start overPage 1 of 1

Allan J. Lichtman
76
Paperback
30 offers from $12.47
Allen Lichtman
43
Paperback
38 offers from $1.99

Special offers and product promotions

Create your FREE Amazon Business account to save up to 10% with Business-only prices and free shipping.

Editorial Reviews

Review

“This intriguing study offers a radical system for determining in advance the winners of American presidential elections, a system integrating historical analysis and mathematical pattern-recognition methods.”, Publishers Weekly

"Of the hundreds of books written about presidential elections, one of the best is Allan J. Lichtman's The Keys to the White House.", Roll Call

"An important reminder to all of us, professional political analysts and interested citizens and observers alike, that fundamentals matter. Presidential elections are not personality contests or astrological events. Rational forces drive presidential election outcomes and nobody does a better job of making that case than Lichtman does." -- Charlie Cook, editor, The Cook Political Report, political analyst, National Journal and NBC News

About the Author

Allan J. Lichtman teaches history at American University in Washington, D.C. He is a regular political analyst for CNN Headline News and also provides political commentary for national networks and newspapers. He is the author of White Protestant Nation: The Rise of the American Conservative Movement.

He has published more than one hundred scholarly and popular articles that have appeared in such
journals and newspapers as the American Historical Review, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, New Republic, Washington Monthly, New York Times, Washington Post, Christian Science Monitor, and Los Angeles Times.

Product details

Publisher ‏ : ‎ Rowman & Littlefield Publishing Group; 2016th edition (May 13, 2016)
Language ‏ : ‎ English
Paperback ‏ : ‎ 240 pages
ISBN-10 ‏ : ‎ 1442269200
ISBN-13 ‏ : ‎ 978-1442269200
Item Weight ‏ : ‎ 12.8 ounces
Dimensions ‏ : ‎ 6.02 x 0.6 x 9.01 inches

Best Sellers Rank: #1,284,098 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
- #1,737 in Elections
- #2,419 in United States Executive Government

Customer Reviews:
31 ratings

Start reading Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House on your Kindle in under a minute.

Don't have a Kindle? Get your Kindle here, or download a FREE Kindle Reading App.

Customer reviews

5 star		62%
4 star		29%
3 star		4%
2 star 0% (0%)		0%
1 star		4%

How are ratings calculated?

Top reviews from the United States

There was a problem filtering reviews right now. Please try again later.

Marc R. Halley

Did he predict this election? NO. He predicted Trump, but his model predicts the popular vote. Trump lost the popular vote!!!

Reviewed in the United States on November 21, 2016

Verified Purchase

OK, very intriguing model based upon how well the incumbent party governs. Good, but missed it this time!

So according to the news, Lichtman picked Trump to win. Six keys were against the Democrats to hold on. That's enough to lose.

HOWEVER, Lichtman's keys predict, he states over and over, the popular vote. The Democrats won the popular vote. He predicted Al Gore who won the popular vote.

So the Trump prediction was wrong. Can you have it both ways?

12 people found this helpful

Helpful

obaquerizo

I do like this book

Reviewed in the United States on April 14, 2017

Verified Purchase

I do like this book, give you a lot of historical background on how the USA potilical has been moving through ages. And giving different insight on how you can be or not the president of the USA

One person found this helpful

Helpful

Kindle Customer

Very interesting idea, but plodding book

Reviewed in the United States on May 22, 2017

Verified Purchase

I had looked forward to more analysis of recent elections according to this system. But as it covers every single election since 1860, each one is covered very briefly. It will be interesting to see what he says in future as his system failed in 2016! He predicted a Trump victory. Yet his system is designed to select the winner of the popular vote and Clinton won that substantially. He will probably argue that a generic Republican would have won, but Trump's weakness as a candidate caused him to lose the popular vote and nearly lose the election.

3 people found this helpful

Helpful

artifex

genuinely insightful, nice break from the usual election-year punditry

Reviewed in the United States on June 3, 2017

Verified Purchase

yes, it is worth reading. helps understand politics, especially presidential politics, in a way other analyses don't.

Helpful

DKM (prof)

Four Stars

Reviewed in the United States on March 28, 2017

Verified Purchase

Interesting, not fascinating

One person found this helpful

Helpful

Tom

Five Stars

Reviewed in the United States on December 28, 2016

Verified Purchase

Good read!

Helpful

Nikolett Vida

Five Stars

Reviewed in the United States on January 31, 2018

Verified Purchase

It was useful.

Helpful

John

A very interesting analysis on how presidential elections are really won

Reviewed in the United States on October 19, 2016

Verified Purchase

For me, the most fascinating conclusion of prof. Lichtman’s research is that the hundreds of millions of dollars spent on campaigns, advertisement, consultants, and polls is just wasted money. I really want to believe that his conclusion is correct because campaigning has now become a joke. It is a shame that when the media interviews prof. Lichtman, they only want to discuss who the book says is going to win – and not discuss the wasted money that is spent every election cycle.

I agree that the book could be shortened - the meat is in the first two chapters with the rest of the book outlining the historical evidence for his claims. All in all, a very good book that I hope proves (in this election) that actual government performance is what wins the White House.

I'm not saying which candidate I'm supporting, but I believe in the "Keys" :)

10 people found this helpful

Helpful

Top reviews from other countries

Translate all reviews to English

Cliente Amazon

libro valido

Reviewed in Italy on May 27, 2017

Verified Purchase

allan lichtman ha la fama di aver indovinato tutti i presidenti americani ( trump incluso) durante le elezioni per otto volte.se siete appassionati di politica americana e di elezioni non vi resta che leggere questo libro. attraverso le chiavi, descritte nel libro, capirete cosa puo' portare alla vittoria un presidente in corsa, anche quando l'opinione pubblica e la stampa pensa che la corsa sia chiusa.

Translate review to English

See all reviews

Customers who bought this item also bought

Page 1 of 1 Start overPage 1 of 1

Buy new: $26.00$26.00 FREE delivery: Monday, Nov 8 Ships from: Amazon.com Sold by: Amazon.com

Buy used: $10.00

Predicting the Next President Paperback – May 13, 2016

Enhance your purchase

Frequently bought together

Customers who viewed this item also viewed

What other items do customers buy after viewing this item?

Special offers and product promotions

Editorial Reviews

Review

About the Author

Product details

Customer reviews

Top reviews from the United States

There was a problem filtering reviews right now. Please try again later.

Top reviews from other countries

Customers who bought this item also bought

Buy new:

$26.00

FREE delivery: Monday, Nov 8

Ships from: Amazon.com

Sold by: Amazon.com

Buy used:

$10.00