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Profiting in Economic Storms: A Historic Guide To Surviving Depression, Deflation, HyperInflation, and Market Bubbles by [Shaffer, Daniel S.]
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Profiting in Economic Storms: A Historic Guide To Surviving Depression, Deflation, HyperInflation, and Market Bubbles Kindle Edition

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Length: 240 pages Word Wise: Enabled Enhanced Typesetting: Enabled
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Product Details

  • File Size: 1697 KB
  • Print Length: 240 pages
  • Publisher: Wiley; 1 edition (October 26, 2010)
  • Publication Date: October 26, 2010
  • Sold by: Amazon Digital Services LLC
  • Language: English
  • ASIN: B004A15BAY
  • Text-to-Speech: Enabled
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  • Word Wise: Enabled
  • Lending: Enabled
  • Enhanced Typesetting: Enabled
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #1,862,164 Paid in Kindle Store (See Top 100 Paid in Kindle Store)
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Format: Hardcover Verified Purchase
First of all, I am not an active investor, trader or money manager for which, as the author states in his Preface, this book is intended for. I am a retired military officer with an MBA and a great deal of interest in economics.

The authors main message throughout the book is that the economy is in the very early stages of entering an "deflationary depression". He postulates a 40 year economic cycle that will bottom out in 2020 with a period of inflation of hyper-inflation to follow. He explains the current economic situation, why no government can stop it, and the normal investment mindset of the average individual. He then looks at examples in history of other mania's and concludes with mathematical examples of how to predict of "engineer" the market. He uses everything from sun spot cycles, Fibonacci Numbers, even Terry Landry's "T Theory" as possible ways to predict market movement. This book is not for those who subscribe to the buy and hold theory.

Support for this theory in lacking. First of all, he outlines other famous mania's from the Tulip Bulb Mania in 1634-1637, The South Sea Bubble, The Nikke 225 Index, right up to our current situation. All told, he describes, by my count, over 100 years of financial panics and mania's in just 12 pages of text. His depiction of each is a small background of the event followed by a price chart. He leaves the reader with a hunger for more information that this book lacks. The section on mathematical equations is impressive, but once again lacks depth to support it. I got the impression he was cherry picking mathematical equations and natural cycles to support a conclusion he has already made. Finally, and while he mentions the market numerous times, he never explains what, exactly, the market is.
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Format: Hardcover
The author discusses the current economic environment from an historical perspective and provides a good deal of evidence that the U.S. may be on the path toward a long-term decline. For the here and now, he believes we're likely to drift into an deflationary depression followed by hyperinflation toward the later part of the decade. He provides investment ideas for every stage of the cycle. The message to me is to anticipate the future and plan your investments accordingly. There will be great opportunities, but if you stand still, you could lose a boatload. Tough times are going to last. Better be prepared.
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