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Shifting Superpowers: The New and Emerging Relationships between the United States, China and India Hardcover – January 16, 2010
Purchase options and add-ons
- Print length240 pages
- LanguageEnglish
- PublisherCato Institute
- Publication dateJanuary 16, 2010
- Dimensions6.42 x 0.84 x 9.5 inches
- ISBN-101935308211
- ISBN-13978-1935308218
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Review
Martin Sieff, who has read widely, thought deeply, and mastered his subject, offers a trenchant and timely critique of one of our reigning orthodoxies, which presents China as our inevitable adversary and India as our new partner in a latter-day variant of containment. But he goes the extra mile in this splendid book and offers an alternative and enlightened approach, one that our leaders and foreign policy pundits would do well to take seriously. -- Rajan Menon Monroe J. Rathbone Professor of International Relations, Lehigh University
From the Back Cover
Product details
- Publisher : Cato Institute (January 16, 2010)
- Language : English
- Hardcover : 240 pages
- ISBN-10 : 1935308211
- ISBN-13 : 978-1935308218
- Item Weight : 1.04 pounds
- Dimensions : 6.42 x 0.84 x 9.5 inches
- Customer Reviews:
About the author

Martin Sieff is the country's foremost authority on the Cycles of Change. Over the past quarter century, he has developed an unparalleled record in covering and predicting the main economic and security developments of the world.
During his 24 years as a senior foreign correspondent for The Washington Times and United Press International, Sieff reported from more than 70 nations and covered 12 wars. He has specialized in U.S. and global strategic and economic issues and predicted:
*The Collapse of Communism and the disintegration of the Soviet Union
*The disintegration of Yugoslavia and the outbreak of multiple civil wars on its territories
*The collapse of the U.S. housing bubble
*The new 21st century Russian-Chinese strategic alliance against the United States
*The September 2008 Wall Street meltdown.
*The accelerating disintegration of the US industrial and manufacturing sectors.
*The escalating guerrilla war against US forces in Iraq following the apparently rapid 2003 conquest of the country and the inability of US forces and strategists to eradicate it.
*The failure of US nation building in Afghanistan.
*Saddam Hussein's 1990 invasion of Iraq.
*In 2003, that Saudi security forces would successfully eradicate al-Qaeda in its unsuccessful attempts to destabilize the country.
*In 2004-2005, the success of Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon's security barrier/fence in shutting down the Second Palestinian Intifada.
*In 2004-2005, that the issue of US border security with Mexico and the strengthening of border defenses would become a major and continuing political issue in the Southwest United States.
*Russia's August 2008 invasion of Georgia.
*In 2008, Sieff predicted President Obama's victory margin in the presidential election to within 1 percent. He also predicted the Democratic victory margin in the House of Representatives to within 5 seats and in the Senate to within 2 seats.
*In 2006 he predicted that the Republicans would lose control of both houses of Congress.
Martin Sieff is the author of
*Cycles of Change: The Three Great Cycles of American History & the Coming Crises That Will Lead to the Fourth (2014), available through Amazon.com.
*Gathering Storm: The Seventh Era of American History, and the Coming Crises That Will Lead to It (2014), available through Amazon.com.
*That Should Still Be Us: How Thomas Friedman's Flat World Myths Are Keeping Us Flat on Our Backs (Wiley and Co., 2012) - in which he presented a realistic, detailed strategy for restoring U.S. industry and manufacturing, and restoring U.S. domestic energy production.
*Shifting Superpowers: The New and Emerging Relationships between the United States, China and India (Cato Institute, 2010) and
*The Politically Incorrect Guide to the Middle East (Regnery, 2008).
Sieff served as Chief Foreign Correspondent of The Washington Times and as Chief News Analyst and Managing Editor, International Affairs for United Press International. He has received three Pulitzer Prize nominations for International Reporting.
Sieff also served as UPI's National Security and Defense Industry Editor. For five years he produced the weekly BMD (Ballistic Missile Defense) Watch and BMD Analysis columns for UPI, the most comprehensive news and analytical coverage of ballistic missile threats and defense to appear regularly throughout that time in the mainstream US media. He was also UPI's chief analyst on the Iraq War from 2003 through 2007.
From 2009 to 2014, Sieff was Chief Analyst at The Globalist, & Senior Fellow of the Globalist Foundation. Since 2010, he has been a correspondent for The Asia Pacific Defense Forum. Sieff is also a Senior Fellow at The American University in Moscow.
Sieff has travelled extensively throughout the former Soviet republics and has reported extensively on the nations of Central Asia. He has reported extensively on the developing energy economies of Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan. He is an expert on Chinese and Russian policies and on the security dynamics of Northeast and Southeast Asia.
Sieff is also an expert on Russia and the Soviet Union and has reported from and traveled extensively in the most remote reaches of those countries including Tatarstan, the Caucasus, the Baikonur Cosmodrome, Siberia, Lake Baikal, the Chinese border region along the Amur river, the sensitive Kaliningrad military district, the middle Volga region and many other areas. He is one of the leading journalistic authorities in the United States on Russian military and nuclear capabilities.
From 1994 to 1999, Sieff was Chief Foreign Correspondent for The Washington Times. He was the Times' Soviet and East European correspondent covering the collapse of communism for six years from 1986 to 1992 and from 1992 to 1994 was its State Department correspondent.
Sieff has covered conflicts in his native Northern Ireland, Israel and the West Bank, Iraq, Indonesia, Bosnia, Russia, Poland, Azerbaijan, Georgia and the Baltic states. He has reported on economic trends in China, India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Kazakhstan, Japan, Malaysia, Singapore, Germany, Russia, Poland, Syria, Egypt, Jordan, Kuwait, and Turkey. Sieff led UPI's political coverage of the 2000, 2004 and 2008 presidential election campaigns. From May 2005 to July 2007 he was UPI's National Security Correspondent and from October 2003 to May 2005 he was its Chief Political Correspondent. From May 1999 to January 2000 he was UPI's national security editor; from January to March 2000, its Assistant Managing Editor for International Affairs, and from March 2000 to March 2001 its Managing Editor, International Affairs and from March 2001 to October 2003 its Chief News Analyst, a position he took up again from 2006 to 2009. From 1994 to 1999, Sieff was Chief Foreign Correspondent for The Washington Times. He was the Times' Soviet and East European correspondent covering the collapse of communism for six years from 1986 to 1992 and from 1992 to 1994 was its State Department correspondent. He received his first two Pulitzer Prize nominations for international reporting for covering the collapse of communism in Eastern Europe (1989) and in the Soviet Union (1990) and his third one for covering NATO expansion into Eastern Europe and its consequences (1997).
Sieff's articles have also appeared in Salon.com, The Daily Beast, The American Conservative, National Review, Fox News, Human Events, Commentary, Pravda, Russia Insider, the Jerusalem Report, Antiwar.com and many other newspapers and journals.
He has appeared on Fox News, National Public Radio, the British Broadcasting Corporation, Russia Today, Russian National Television's Channel 1, Radio Telefis Eireann in Ireland, Al-Arabiya, National Television News in Kazakhstan and many other broadcasting stations and networks in the United States and around the world.
Sieff has given lecture courses on Middle East history, American political history and the rise and fall of international broadcast news in the United States
Sieff received his B.A. and M.A in modern history from Oxford University in 1972 and 1976. He did graduate work in Middle East studies at the London School of Economics from 1973 to 1976. He is a U.S. and Irish citizen.
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Sieff, unlike other Western writers, finally acknowledges the role that the Indian Army played in the 20th century, particularly in the Middle East and SE Asia. In all those World War 2 movies that show white British troops - more likely, it was an Indian lad fighting for the British Empire. The Indian Army was the only Asian army that was able to stop the Japanese war machine in WW II from advancing further into Asia. Sieff also coins an expression "look at a map" that is of use to the reader. He notes that regardless of whatever values America & India share, Indians look at a map, and see China right next door, and America is far far away. So, for the immediate future, India will not antagonize China just to suit some American ideas of keeping China boxed in. Nor will India stop using nearby Russia as a supplier of military equipment, since Russia has developed a 30+ year relationship as a reliable supplier.
One fact-checking error. India's first nuclear test was in 1974, not 1998 as Sieff wrote. But, this book is a necessary book, that should be read by any naive Beltway type that believes India & China will be content being America's junior partner. If anything, both countries see themselves as re-asserting their central place in world events.
1. The book claims India's first nuclear test was in 1998 when it was actually conducted during the time of Nixon and Kissinger (1974), and Kissinger actually came to India in its aftermath to meet the then Prime Minister Indira Gandhi.
2. The government of Prime Minister Narasimha Rao was in office in Delhi from 1991-1996, not 1992-97 as the book claims.
3. The book claims Bengal is in North India, and Dharmasala is in East India. Wrong! One can claim that Bengal is in the northern half of the country, but it is in the eastern part too, and most people will say it is East India and not North India, and no one can remotely claim that Dharmsala is in East India.
4. The current Prime Minister Manmohan Singh was the Finance Minister in just one prior Congress government, not many prior governments as has been claimed in the book.
Another point that I found irritating was the use of same sentences, sometimes paragraphs, word for word at many places in the book. This shows some poor editing. Overall the book was a good read, a slightly different perspective than what one is used to seeing, a fresh approach, but the factual errors make me a bit sceptical to accept other "facts" as mentioned in the book without further evidence.
Shifting Superpowers in an interesting read just as a quick overview of Chinese and Indian history. The use of this history by Sieff to inform policy issues is, to say the least, an added benefit. Good relations between China, India, and the U.S. will be key to progress in the twenty-first century. Sieff is addressing vitally important issues in a thoughtful way.


