The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't 1st Edition, Kindle Edition

4.4 out of 5 stars 1,121 customer reviews
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ISBN-13: 978-1594204111
ISBN-10: 159420411X
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Editorial Reviews

Amazon.com Review

Amazon Best Books of the Month, September 2012: People love statistics. Statistics, however, do not always love them back. The Signal and the Noise, Nate Silver's brilliant and elegant tour of the modern science-slash-art of forecasting, shows what happens when Big Data meets human nature. Baseball, weather forecasting, earthquake prediction, economics, and polling: In all of these areas, Silver finds predictions gone bad thanks to biases, vested interests, and overconfidence. But he also shows where sophisticated forecasters have gotten it right (and occasionally been ignored to boot). In today's metrics-saturated world, Silver's book is a timely and readable reminder that statistics are only as good as the people who wield them. --Darryl Campbell

From Bookforum

Silver doesn't offer one comprehensive theory for what makes a good prediction in his interdisciplinary tour of forecasting. But the book is a useful gloss on the tricky business of making predictions correctly. —Chris Wilson

Product details

  • File Size: 9940 KB
  • Print Length: 556 pages
  • Publisher: Penguin Books; 1 edition (September 27, 2012)
  • Publication Date: September 27, 2012
  • Sold by: Penguin Group (USA) LLC
  • Language: English
  • ASIN: B007V65R54
  • Text-to-Speech: Enabled
  • X-Ray:
  • Word Wise: Enabled
  • Lending: Not Enabled
  • Enhanced Typesetting: Enabled
  • Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #40,469 Paid in Kindle Store (See Top 100 Paid in Kindle Store)
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on September 27, 2012
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