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The Strategy of Conflict: With a New Preface by the Author Reprint Edition
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- ISBN-100674840313
- ISBN-13978-0674840317
- EditionReprint
- PublisherHarvard University Press
- Publication dateMay 15, 1981
- LanguageEnglish
- Dimensions5.5 x 0.62 x 8.25 inches
- Print length328 pages
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Editorial Reviews
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“In eminently lucid and often charming language, Professor Schelling’s work opens to rational analysis a crucial field of politics, the international politics of threat, or as the current term goes, of deterrence. In this field, the author’s analysis goes beyond what has been done by earlier writers. It is the best, most incisive, and most stimulating book on the subject.”―Annals of the American Academy
“An important contribution to understanding the conduct of the ambiguous conflict between the communist bloc on the one hand and the United States and its Free World Allies on the other.”―Journal of Politics
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Product details
- Publisher : Harvard University Press; Reprint edition (May 15, 1981)
- Language : English
- Paperback : 328 pages
- ISBN-10 : 0674840313
- ISBN-13 : 978-0674840317
- Item Weight : 13.4 ounces
- Dimensions : 5.5 x 0.62 x 8.25 inches
- Best Sellers Rank: #621,150 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
- #1,305 in Political Science (Books)
- Customer Reviews:
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“Because there really are only two choices. We win and they lose – or else, they win and we lose.”
“There’s a third possibility.”
“What?” he demanded aggressively.
“We all lose.”
-- Patriots, David Frum
It is also possible for everyone to win! It may be true, as they say in The Moon Is a Harsh Mistress, that "There ain't no such thing as a free lunch.", but all of economics is built on the principle that there are cheap lunches all around -- lunches whose cost is less than their value.
I have lost count of the number of people, both impecunious students and millionaires, who looked on me condescendingly when I suggested that there might be deals that would benefit both students and millionaires. "So naive!" But it is not naive. What is naive is to believe that every dollar taken from one person benefits another, or that each dollar given to one person must be taken from someone other person. Lose-lose and win-win are not new ideas. They are fundamental both to Adam Smith's Wealth of Nations and David Ricardo's concept of Comparative Advantage.
The mathematical field of Game Theory was invented by John von Neumann, reportedly inspired by the poker games he played at Los Alamos during the development of the atomic bomb. It is what Thomas C. Schelling means by his title The Strategy of Conflict. After developing game theory, von Neumann showed that zero-sum games, i.e. games in which every gain of one player is balanced by a loss from another, are mathematically uninteresting. It was left to later researchers, for instance John Nash (he of the biography and movie A Beautiful Mind) to show that nonzero sum games -- games in which everyone can win or everyone can lose -- are mathematically more interesting.
Schelling was a pioneer in applying these ideas to real-world situations, economics, nuclear deterrence, and convincing ones children to behave. He was particularly concerned with conflicts whose participants have incomplete information, for instance because of a real asymmetry (as for instance between parents and children) or because of communication difficulties, such as lack of trust between the USA and USSR during the cold war.
The Strategy of Conflict is a collection of his classic papers on the subject. There is very little math, and what there is is simple. I found it readable and interesting, and still relevant, even 60 years after its publication.
It's been my goto recommendation for friends looking to get into game theory.
Often you read books where economists find new applications for known principles. Often you read books where economists lay down some new insight they've had into what can be a very technical field.
Strategy of Conflict does both. Schelling does a wonderful job finding applications for *new* insights and explaining them in a readable way.
Schelling's writing style is both engaging and thought-provoking, making complex concepts accessible to readers from various backgrounds. He masterfully combines game theory, economics, and psychology to offer a comprehensive framework for analyzing and predicting how conflicts unfold.
One of the highlights of the book is Schelling's exploration of the concept of "strategic commitment." He argues persuasively that strategic success often lies in creating credible commitments and leveraging the power of threats. His examples, drawn from diverse areas such as military conflicts and negotiations, demonstrate the real-world implications of these concepts.
Furthermore, Schelling's ability to apply his theories to a wide range of scenarios is remarkable. From the arms race during the Cold War to business negotiations and everyday interpersonal interactions, he illuminates the strategic dimensions of our lives. His insights shed light on the dynamics of conflicts, both large and small, providing a fresh perspective on decision-making in a competitive world.
While the subject matter might seem daunting at first, Schelling's explanations are clear and concise, aided by numerous real-life examples and engaging anecdotes. He guides the reader through intricate concepts with clarity, making even the most complex ideas accessible.
My only minor critique is that some sections of the book can be quite dense, requiring a focused mindset to fully grasp the finer details. However, for those willing to invest the time and effort, the rewards are truly enlightening.
In conclusion, "Strategy of Conflict" is an indispensable book for anyone interested in understanding the art of strategy and decision-making. Thomas Schelling's profound insights, coupled with his skillful storytelling, make this book a timeless classic. Whether you're a student of economics, a business professional, or simply curious about human behavior, this book will leave a lasting impact on your understanding of strategic interactions.
Top reviews from other countries
This is one of those books that need the reader to pause and think and absorb and move on to the next idea. Extremely engaging.













