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Superabundance: The Story of Population Growth, Innovation, and Human Flourishing on an Infinitely Bountiful Planet Paperback – August 29, 2023

4.6 4.6 out of 5 stars 362 ratings

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“For centuries, the ivory towers of academia have echoed this sentiment of multitudinous ends and limited means. In this supremely contrarian book, Tupy and Pooley overturn the tables in the temple of conventional thinking. They deploy rigorous and original data and analysis to proclaim a gospel of abundance. Economics―and ultimately, politics―will be enduringly transformed.” ―George Gilder, author of Life after Google: The Fall of Big Data and the Rise of the Blockchain Economy

Generations of people have been taught that population growth makes resources scarcer. In 2021, for example, one widely publicized report argued, “The world's rapidly growing population is consuming the planet's natural resources at an alarming rate . . . the world currently needs 1.6 Earths to satisfy the demand for natural resources . . . [a figure that] could rise to 2 planets by 2030.” But is that true?

After analyzing the prices of hundreds of commodities, goods, and services spanning two centuries, Marian Tupy and Gale Pooley found that resources became more abundant as the population grew. That was especially true when they looked at “time prices,” which represent the length of time that people must work to buy something.

To their surprise, the authors also found that resource abundance increased faster than the population―a relationship that they call “superabundance.” On average, every additional human being created more value than he or she consumed. This relationship between population growth and abundance is deeply counterintuitive, yet it is true.

Why? More people produce more ideas, which lead to more inventions. People then test those inventions in the marketplace to separate the useful from the useless. At the end of that process of discovery, people are left with innovations that overcome shortages, spur economic growth, and raise standards of living.

But large populations are not enough to sustain superabundance―just think of the poverty in China and India before their respective economic reforms. To innovate, people must be allowed to think, speak, publish, associate, and disagree. They must be allowed to save, invest, trade, and profit. In a word, they must be free.

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Editorial Reviews

Review

“Many people think that superabundance is too good to be true. More of something can be a blessing, but to take the obvious counterexample, superabundance of fossil fuel is a potentially catastrophic curse. If doomsters could recognize the innovative capacity revealed by superabundance and boomsters could admit that the market can blindly misdirect that capacity, the two sides could agree that all it takes to sustain progress are small policy adjustments that point innovation in the right direction.” -- PAUL ROMER, Nobel Prize–winning economist and former chief economist, World Bank

“People don't depend on stuff; they depend on ideas―formulas, algorithms, knowledge―which allow stuff, useless by itself, to satisfy our wants. In this lucid and illuminating book, Tupy and Pooley lucidly use this insight to explain a fact that, surprisingly, surprises people: over the centuries, our increasing knowledge has made more stuff available to us.” -- Steven Pinker, author of Enlightenment Now: The Case for Reason, Science, Humanism, and Progress

“We are living in signal times. The rate at which everything is changing is unparalleled, as is the increase in that rate itself. Two starkly divergent paths therefore present themselves before us, more clearly than ever before: movement toward an era of superabundance, where everyone could have everything they needed and perhaps even most of what they wanted, or degeneration into a state of apocalypse-inspired, faux-compassionate, authoritarian hell, perhaps worse than anything we saw in the most extreme excesses of the 20th century. Could we choose the former path? Tupy and Pooley, anything but naive optimists, say yes and explain why. Read this book. It's a valid antidote to demoralization, cynicism, and hopelessness.” -- JORDAN PETERSON, author of 12 Rules for Life: An Antidote to Chaos

“'Superabundance' pulls off the remarkable feat of being both exhaustive and entertaining at the same time. It adds a critical piece to the growing canon of books documenting the rapid improvements in the quality of human life: an explanation that is grounded in rapid population growth. Anyone that cares about the future of humanity should read this book.” -- Jason Furman, former chair of the Council of Economic Advisers and Professor, Harvard University

“There are those who wish for scarcities, and who work to inhibit economic growth, so that government can claim an excuse to ration this and that. Happily, they have met their match in Tupy and Pooley, who demonstrate that population growth is not a problem; it is the solution―the most important resource.” -- GEORGE WILL, Washington Post

“The decline of poverty and famine and disease and violence over the past few decades has been spectacular, as Tupy and Pooley demonstrate. There is every reason to think it can continue and our grandchildren will look back on today's world with horror and pity. This book is a comprehensive, detailed, and devastating riposte to the perpetual pessimists who dominate modern discourse.” -- Matt Ridley, author of How Innovation Works: And Why It Flourishes in Freedom

“Pessimism sells, which is strange. But the scientific evidence shows that optimism is a lot more sensible. Stop weeping. Read the book, and smile.” -- DEIRDRE MCCLOSKEY, author of Why Liberalism Works: How True Liberal Values Produce a Freer, More Equal, Prosperous World for All

“It's true that we live on a delicate planet that is composed of a finite number of atoms. But as this fascinating and heartening book shows, it's also true that we humans can increase both our population and prosperity as much as we want without endangering the Earth. The key, as Tupy and Pooley show, is innovation. Read Superabundance to have your assumptions challenged and your sense of hope restored.” -- ANDREW MCAFEE, author of More from Less: The Surprising Story of How We Learned to Prosper Using Fewer Resources?and What Happens Next

“With great writing and a mountain of good evidence, Tupy and Pooley remind us that we are immeasurably better-off than our ancestors. In this day of pestilence, war, and climate change, we need that reminder, and we can hope that the doom-mongers will be wrong about the future, just as they have always been wrong about the past.” -- ANGUS DEATON, Nobel Prize–winning economist

“In their essential and provocative new book, Tupy and Pooley show that the ultimate resource remains human ingenuity. 'Superabundance' is a must-read for anyone who cares about the fate of humankind and our bountiful, beautiful planet.” -- MICHAEL SHELLENBERGER, author of Apocalypse Never: Why Environmental Alarmism Hurts Us All

“In a tsunami of bad news about Russian revanchism, nuclear saber rattling, global warming, inflation, supply chain shortages, and a pandemic emerges Superabundance, a data-fueled corrective to the doom and gloom the media daily heaps upon us. Tupy and Pooley have done the world a service with this fact-filled reminder of how good our lives are compared to ages past, and how much more human flourishing is in store if we unleash human innovation.” -- MICHAEL SHERMER, author of The Moral Arc: How Science and Reason Lead Humanity toward Truth, Justice, and Freedom

“Our future is a battle between positive-sum technology and zero-sum mentalities. Tupy and Pooley show that we have the numbers on our side and that the long-term trend in resource abundance is promising.” -- BALAJI SRINIVASAN, former chief technology officer, Coinbase

“My father, Julian Simon, would have treasured Tupy and Pooley's 'Superabundance.' Its breathtaking scope, encyclopedic data, and deep and precise analysis of both economics and history powerfully confirm that people are indeed the ultimate resource―and that a growing population, particularly with greater freedom, has and will overcome every challenge and will, in virtually every measurable way, continue to enjoy greater prosperity.” -- DAVID M. SIMON, senior fellow, Committee to Unleash Prosperity

“More people produce more ideas and innovations. They also produce more nonsense. It is not resources but hope and common sense that are scarce. Human ingenuity can come up with a solution for every scarcity, though, and now we have an antidote to nonsense as well: this magnificent, groundbreaking book by Tupy and Pooley.” -- Johan Norberg, author of Open: The Story of Human Progress

About the Author

Gale L. Pooley is an associate professor of business management at Brigham Young University-Hawaii. He has taught economics and statistics at Alfaisal Univerity in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia; Brigham Young University-Idaho; Boise State University; and the College of Idaho. Pooley has held professional designations from the Appraisal Institute, the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors, and the CCIM Institute. He has published articles in National Review, HumanProgress.org, The American Spectator, the Foundation for Economic Education, the Utah Bar Journal, the Appraisal Journal, Quillette, Forbes, and RealClearMarkets. Pooley is a senior fellow with the Discovery Institute, a board member of HumanProgress.org, and a scholar with Hawaii's Grassroot Institute. His major research activity has been the Simon Abundance Index, which he coauthored with Marian Tupy.

Marian L. Tupy is the editor of HumanProgress.org, a senior fellow at the Cato Institute's Center for Global Liberty and Prosperity, and coauthor of the Simon Abundance Index. He specializes in globalization and global well-being and the politics and economics of Europe and Southern Africa. He is the coauthor of Ten Global Trends Every Smart Person Should Know: And Many Others You Will Find Interesting (Cato Institute, 2020). His articles have been published in the Financial Times, the Washington Post, the Los Angeles Times, the Wall Street Journal, The Atlantic, Newsweek, the UK Spectator, Foreign Policy, and various other outlets in the United States and overseas. He has appeared on BBC, CNN, CNBC, MSNBC, Fox News, Fox Business, and other channels. Tupy received his BA in international relations and classics from the University of Witwatersrand in Johannesburg, South Africa, and his PhD in international relations from the University of St. Andrews in Great Britain.

Product details

  • Publisher ‏ : ‎ Cato Institute (August 29, 2023)
  • Language ‏ : ‎ English
  • Paperback ‏ : ‎ 576 pages
  • ISBN-10 ‏ : ‎ 195222358X
  • ISBN-13 ‏ : ‎ 978-1952223587
  • Item Weight ‏ : ‎ 1.97 pounds
  • Dimensions ‏ : ‎ 6.13 x 1.24 x 8.76 inches
  • Customer Reviews:
    4.6 4.6 out of 5 stars 362 ratings

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Customer reviews

4.6 out of 5 stars
4.6 out of 5
362 global ratings

Customers say

Customers find the book superb, positive, and heartwarming. They also appreciate the simple, ingenious methodology and historical analysis of unique conditions that allowed western Europe to be. Readers describe the writing style as well-written and colorful. They appreciate the clear, colorful graphs and charts.

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21 customers mention "Complexity"21 positive0 negative

Customers find the book superb, reasoned, and intelligent. They say the premise is very heartening and positive, and the book debunks many things that are being presented to us as scare tactics. Readers also say the basic idea is well explained and thoroughly documented. They describe the analyses as optimistic and brain-stretching.

"...Otherwise, the authors provide a very credible and engaging account of innovation and population growth in creating rising abundance...." Read more

"Great book. It debunks so many things that are being presented to us as scare tactics and leaving us fearful of our future...." Read more

"Wow. Just a superb study on the relationship between population and abundance of resources...." Read more

"...This extremely rational and comprehensive investigation of mankind from early Homo sapiens to today’s modern man clearly demonstrates that as an..." Read more

13 customers mention "Writing style"13 positive0 negative

Customers find the book well-written, easy to read, and compelling. They also say it's well structured, enjoyable to read and the editing is superb. Readers also appreciate the clear and colorful graphs and charts.

"...The book is easy to read and makes a compelling case." Read more

"Great book. It debunks so many things that are being presented to us as scare tactics and leaving us fearful of our future...." Read more

"...smell of this book, the editing is superb, the graphs and charts are clear and colorful, and the back is full of Appendices of more data, notes, and..." Read more

"...goods have declined relative to incomes in past decades, this book will be a good read...." Read more

Top reviews from the United States

Reviewed in the United States on October 30, 2023
Right away, readers of certain political backgrounds will be turned off given that this is a Cato institute publication. I am far more sympathetic to the American Left, but I went into this with an open mind and learned a lot.

The book has weaknesses -- the authors do not treat the topic of environmentalism or sustainability sufficiently. The authors critique how the modern environmental movement has become a new religion that espouses anti-growth and anti-population growth ideas. However, the authors fail to present a proactive and credible argument for how superabundance can continue to operate while allowing us to avoid the worst excesses of climate change. The reader can infer the authors' answers, but given how important opposing extreme environmentalism was to the authors, I would have expected a more thorough approach to this topic.

Otherwise, the authors provide a very credible and engaging account of innovation and population growth in creating rising abundance. The middle section of the book becomes a slog of data, but necessarily so given the purpose of the book. The first and last thirds unfold more narratively and qualitatively.

This book creates a strong gave for positivity and abandoning our genetically inherited scarcity and negativity mindsets. It also offers a strong call to action for reforming societies that enable and encourage innovation.
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Reviewed in the United States on January 25, 2023
The bottom line of the book is that contrary to popular opinion, population growth has been a net positive to humanity. They start with the history of thought behind population (and population growth) being bad. The propose a metric they call Time Price and go through extensive justification with plenty of data, graphs and tables to show the efficacy of Time Price as a metric to show that abundance has increased as population has increased.

They outline conditions under which abundance would increase primarily being freedom for people to innovate and trade. Despite their conclusion that population increases are not only correlated with abundance but an important cause of it, the authors are against any coercion or incentives to have more children.

The book is easy to read and makes a compelling case.
7 people found this helpful
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Reviewed in the United States on May 12, 2023
Great book. It debunks so many things that are being presented to us as scare tactics and leaving us fearful of our future. This is a must read for anyone who wants to be uplifted by all the potential that exists for a better life. Fear is being used by so many to convince us things need to be done to dramatically change our way of life. Nonsense!
3 people found this helpful
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Reviewed in the United States on June 4, 2023
Wow. Just a superb study on the relationship between population and abundance of resources.

Firstly, 5 ⭐️ for the blissful aroma of the spine of the hardback book. Book sniffers rejoice.

Next, I really want to give this book an overall 5 star rating, but I have one reservation. My internal rating system reserves 5 stars for books I think every human should/could benefit from reading, but as much as I want every person to read this book, I simply don’t think it is accessible to all people. That’s fine. The authors didn’t intend this for a general audience. The extensive math and theoretical economics (the authors do suggest a chapter to skip if you aren't interested in the math behind their data), the high vocabulary (I learned some new words), and some dry stretches mean that you’ve really got to be serious about wanting to read this book. I set it aside for 6 months in the middle before picking it up again, though I read it like a page-turner while actively engaged. So for that reason, I rate this book overall 4⭐️ with a hope that a good summative interview or documentary will be produced that everyone can engage with.

This book is equal parts economics via statistics, philosophy, and history. Through extensive study, the authors attempt to discover whether overpopulation will spell catastrophe for human kind and civilization or whether the blossoming population lends to greater innovation and abundance of resources. Addressing the Ehrlich-Simon debate over scarcity of resources, the authors standardize the unit measure of abundance. Rather than fight inflation adjustment calculations, sometimes over the course of centuries as data allows, the authors measure the cost of products in the one currency that never changes…the number of hours in our day. They compare how many hours unskilled/skilled/upskilled laborers must work to buy any number of products across decades and centuries of data. An unskilled worker in 1919 had to work 2.69 hours to buy a pound of butter, while an unskilled worker in 2019 worked only 0.22 hours for a pound of butter, despite the price on the tag increasing 352%. Regardless of inflation and wage increases, the laborer is wealthier (in terms of butter and hundreds of other products) and finds his ability to access resources more abundant.

Beyond just the benefits of consumers’ resource abundance, the question remains whether the finite resources of the world can support exponential population growth. Using the personal resource abundance data, the authors assess whether the the consumers gain or lose abundance as the population expands. If/when the abundance of resources grows at a faster rate than population growth, the world experiences Superabundance of resources.

In addition to the the abundance of resources and the improvement to the lives of all humans, but most notably the poorest, they explore the effects innovation and population have had on extreme poverty, life expectancy, nutrition, sanitation, child labor, work safety, education, democracy, environmental quality, mortality, healthcare, and violence.

The authors then examine human nature, the changes of ideas and ideals of civilization in the Age of Innovation, and what factors might put the world of Superabundance at risk. Ultimately, they conclude that the two most crucial factors to continued superabundance are: people (the minds to innovate and the market to test the value) and freedom (protection for voicing ideas and engaging in the market with creative innovations).

In addition to the delicious smell of this book, the editing is superb, the graphs and charts are clear and colorful, and the back is full of Appendices of more data, notes, and sources.
6 people found this helpful
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Top reviews from other countries

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Edith Wenzel
5.0 out of 5 stars The content is too informative to put on a review. Excellent
Reviewed in Canada on September 15, 2023
I don't have time to do the review. But the book was excellent. Everyone will see parts of it more relevant than others.
Luis
5.0 out of 5 stars Para repor a verdade dos factos
Reviewed in Spain on July 7, 2024
Num mundo em que estamos constantemente a ouvir falar de novos apocalipses (vão mudando os apocalipses consoante as novas circunstâncias) que nunca se verificam; num mundo onde vivemos muito melhor do que no passado (e se não vivemos ainda melhor é pelo que fazemos a nós próprios, sempre borrados de medo perante profecias da desgraça), este é um excelente livro para tranquilizar os mais inquietos, através de factos e senso comum.
Boris Janek
5.0 out of 5 stars Ein wichtiges Buch
Reviewed in Germany on February 19, 2024
Das Buch ist voller überzeugender Argumente und unterstreicht,dass Freiheit und Ideen die Basis des menschlichen Fortschritts sind und jedes Katastrophen Szenario überwunden haben und auch überwinden werden. Wir stehen vor einer Zeit des Überflusses, wenn es uns gelingt die Post Wachstums Sozialisten zurückzudrängen. Durch Argumente!!
Adrian
5.0 out of 5 stars Incredibly insightful
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on September 3, 2023
Perfect antidote to scarcity mentality!
marco carrara
5.0 out of 5 stars Un testo originale e molto persuasivo
Reviewed in Italy on March 3, 2023
Un metodo di visione della realtà originale che aiuta a vedere la situazione attuale e i problemi in una maniera migliore di quanto il politicamente corretto catastrofista non dipinga.
One person found this helpful
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