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The Second Nuclear Age: Strategy, Danger, and the New Power Politics Hardcover – November 13, 2012
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A leading international security strategist offers a compelling new way to "think about the unthinkable."
The cold war ended more than two decades ago, and with its end came a reduction in the threat of nuclear weapons―a luxury that we can no longer indulge. It's not just the threat of Iran getting the bomb or North Korea doing something rash; the whole complexion of global power politics is changing because of the reemergence of nuclear weapons as a vital element of statecraft and power politics. In short, we have entered the second nuclear age.
In this provocative and agenda-setting book, Paul Bracken of Yale University argues that we need to pay renewed attention to nuclear weapons and how their presence will transform the way crises develop and escalate. He draws on his years of experience analyzing defense strategy to make the case that the United States needs to start thinking seriously about these issues once again, especially as new countries acquire nuclear capabilities. He walks us through war-game scenarios that are all too realistic, to show how nuclear weapons are changing the calculus of power politics, and he offers an incisive tour of the Middle East, South Asia, and East Asia to underscore how the United States must not allow itself to be unprepared for managing such crises.
Frank in its tone and farsighted in its analysis, The Second Nuclear Age is the essential guide to the new rules of international politics.
- Print length320 pages
- LanguageEnglish
- PublisherTimes Books
- Publication dateNovember 13, 2012
- Dimensions6.45 x 1.1 x 9.64 inches
- ISBN-10080509430X
- ISBN-13978-0805094305
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Editorial Reviews
Review
“Mr. Bracken's view is a powerful one. . . . The questions [he] raises about the sustainability of current American foreign policy thinking are particularly timely. Nuclear strategy must come out of its post-Cold War retirement. We are once again in a world where nuclear weapons count.” ―Walter Russell Mead, The Wall Street Journal
“Penetrating. . . . Bracken is an example of why fresh and fearless thinking is required when considering the near-term future of geopolitics. . . . Everyone interested in nuclear proliferation in the Middle East should read [this book].” ―Robert D. Kaplan, Stratfor, author of The Revenge of Geography
“This is an important book, necessary reading for anyone looking to understand nuclear weapons and how they might be used, directly or indirectly, in future conflicts around the world. Paul Bracken is a rigorous critic, convincing and unsentimental in his discussion of the strategic and political context of the subject. This is no simplistic vision of Armageddon.” ―George Friedman, author of The Next 100 Years, CEO of Stratfor
“Paul Bracken has written an alarming and compelling wake-up call. He argues that as new countries acquire nuclear capabilities, the cold war rules of the road no longer apply and we ignore the complexities of today’s environment at our peril. He provides an instructive history of how we got here and is practical and provocative in recommending possible solutions.
Read this book. We should not wait for the first nuclear crisis of this century to start thinking about what to do differently.” ―Admiral Mike Mullen, USN (ret.), former chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff
“Read this book. We should not wait for the first nuclear crisis of this century to start thinking about what to do differently.” ―Admiral Mike Mullen, USN (ret.), former chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff
“Challenging the vision of a world free of nuclear weapons, Paul Bracken argues that we have already entered a second nuclear weapons age -- and that the United States needs to face that reality. His book is well worth reading.” ―Graham Allison, director, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard University, and author of Essence of Decision and Nuclear Terrorism
“Put Paul Bracken in charge of our nuclear policy for the twenty-first century. The Second Nuclear Age is a superb analysis of why and how a continuation of our Cold War nuclear forces and doctrines will fail, and how we can make them safer and far more strategically useful.” ―R. James Woolsey, Former Director of Central Intelligence
“In this book--which could hardly be more timely--Paul Bracken dissects the dangerous and often neglected realities of 'the second nuclear age' and argues for bold, innovative, and often provocative ways to think about how to avert those dangers. Precisely because he challenges orthodox doctrines and practices and argues forcefully for his own strong views, he helps ensure that one of the most important, complex, and controversial issues of our time will get the hard-headed attention it deserves.” ―Strobe Talbott, president of the Brookings Institution and former U.S. deputy secretary of state
About the Author
Paul Bracken is the author of Fire in the East and The Command and Control of Nuclear Forces. He is a professor of management and political science at Yale University, and was previously a member of the senior staff of the Hudson Institute under Herman Kahn and a consultant to the Rand Corporation. He serves on several Department of Defense advisory boards and works with global multinational corporations on strategy and technology issues. He lives in Connecticut.
Product details
- Publisher : Times Books
- Publication date : November 13, 2012
- Edition : 1st
- Language : English
- Print length : 320 pages
- ISBN-10 : 080509430X
- ISBN-13 : 978-0805094305
- Item Weight : 1.1 pounds
- Dimensions : 6.45 x 1.1 x 9.64 inches
- Best Sellers Rank: #2,877,328 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
- #390 in Nuclear Weapons & Warfare History (Books)
- #1,023 in National & International Security (Books)
- #2,094 in Military Strategy History (Books)
- Customer Reviews:
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Customers find the book valuable for its insights into nuclear weapons, with one review noting it's informed by years of wargaming. Moreover, the writing quality receives positive feedback, and customers consider it a must-read. However, the book's scariness level receives mixed reactions from customers.
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Customers appreciate the book's valuable insights about nuclear weapons, with one customer noting it is informed by years of wargaming.
"Scary, but insightful and fascinating!..." Read more
"This is a good overview of how nuclear weapons play a role in a multipolar international system...." Read more
"Interesting assessment of the problems involved with the spreading of nuclear weapons and the art of diplomacy." Read more
"Simply put: a must-read. Eloquently written, always sharp and to the point, and informed by years of wargaming. The real deal...." Read more
Customers find the book interesting to read, with one noting it's a must-read and another emphasizing its importance for officials involved in nuclear politics.
"Simply put: a must-read. Eloquently written, always sharp and to the point, and informed by years of wargaming. The real deal...." Read more
"...that arise as one adds players to a two player game are quite interesting...." Read more
"...Not just for defense wonks. Highly recommended for all audiences. Prof Bracken has delivered a well-written and informative book." Read more
"...Bracken puts things in a very important global perspective. Enjoyed reading his views." Read more
Customers appreciate the writing quality of the book.
"Simply put: a must-read. Eloquently written, always sharp and to the point, and informed by years of wargaming. The real deal...." Read more
"...Highly recommended for all audiences. Prof Bracken has delivered a well-written and informative book." Read more
"...The book is well written and raises critical questions about nuclear weapons. It is not pretentious or esoteric...." Read more
Top reviews from the United States
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- Reviewed in the United States on April 2, 2013Format: HardcoverVerified PurchaseLittle has changed in the literature on nuclear strategy and nuclear warfare in the past 20 years. Philip Bobbitt's work "The Shield of Achilles" is one notable exception. But Bracken does an amazing job here describing the multiple reasons why we had all better begin thinking about the unthinkable once again.
More than that though, it occurred to me that the most insightful, creative thinkers about the future may well be nuclear strategists. In other fields, experts can make wild prognostications just to make headlines or a name for themselves. But in nuclear strategy, you had better be damned well sure you understand how the world might evolve because if you get it wrong, billions of people will die and civilization may come to an end.
This book is very crisp, hard-hitting, and fast-paced. Entire academic departments are sometimes eviscerated in three sentences. And the author knows what he is talking about. He's sat through the war games, lived in think tanks, seen the whole Cold War through to its end. We should all take pause that someone with this biography is now sounding the klaxon and asking everyone to wake up and pay attention.
- Reviewed in the United States on December 4, 2013Format: PaperbackVerified PurchasePaul Bracken is a professor at Yale. Before Yale, he used to work with Herman Kahn (Dr. Strangelove's character was partially based on Khan). The book is well written and raises critical questions about nuclear weapons. It is not pretentious or esoteric. I think he has some profound insights. The book is a warning. The new global nuclear system is out-running the current conventional thinking. There are eight acknowledged nuclear powers today: the US, Russia, UK, France, China, India, Pakistan, and North Korea. Israel has the bomb but does not publicly acknowledge it. Iran is developing a bomb. Brazil and Japan have the technical capability and economic resources to go nuclear if they so choose. Bracken may be right: it's impossible to eliminate nuclear weapons. The only solution is to 'manage' them. He is probably right that the next nuclear crisis will be highly dangerous. The multi-player games are inherently less stable than two-player games. However, there is no discussion in his book about what "nuclear weapons" mean. Today, there is a blurring between tactical nuclear weapons and non-nuclear systems with a capability for precise powerful strikes. Moreover, "tactical" nukes can be used for strategic missions. They can be put on small drones, etc. Bracken is not asking: "What are nuclear weapons"? I think it would be a good question. The EMP (electromagnetic pulse) nuclear weapon will be exploded in high altitude. It will no longer kill millions with radiation and destroy the cities. But the use of electromagnetic pulse will paralyze electronic equipment; knock down power-grids and communication networks. It will spread panic. In a sense you no longer need nukes in the old capacity.
The author tend to see the role of the United States through rose-colored glasses. He believes that U.S. is a benevolent observer of a spontaneous race. He dismisses the missile defense, he thinks the U.S. missile defense has no bearing whatsoever on the issue. I disagree -- I think the strategic missile defense seriously alarmed both Russians and Chinese who fear that the American missile defense will diminish their deterrence capabilities. The Russians have openly said so. Now they are furiously working on upgrading and improving the nuclear arsenals. The fear of U.S. by Iran and others may be a catalyst of the second nuclear age. Therefore the issue of spread of nuclear weapons is linked with the question of the U.S. global hegemony. It is a question of Grand Strategy, not merely of "management". What the book misses is an ejection of grand strategic and ethics-related probing. It is very visible in the case of Japan. He advocates Japan going nuclear, since it could be one of "legitimate" nuclear countries, "good guys". It will help the burden of the U.S. I think he is mistaken. I don't believe Japan going nuclear would bring a strategic benefit. Besides, many Japanese consider nuclear weapons to be unethical. But Bracken doesn't believe in the nuclear bomb as an ethical question. I also think his treating countries in terms of "good guys" or "legitimate" nuclear powers, and "bad guys" is contra-productive. In the end, it is very hard to agree that the "management" of the nuclear weapons in terms of scenarios is the right way ahead. It is the issue of diplomacy, foreign policy, and more broadly - grand strategy. This strategy must be comprehensive and based on assessment of interests, threats, and resources with the long-term objectives taken in consideration. It seems to be beyond his survey. Still, Bracken's book is a provocative, detailed and welcome examination of the emerged order, which he calls the second nuclear age. I recommend it.
- Reviewed in the United States on April 24, 2014Format: PaperbackVerified PurchaseThe author has the ability to transform complex concepts into something others can readily understand and has many penetrating, well-informed insights. Game Theory applied to Pakistani and Indian nuclear war options? That could easily have degenerated into page after page of unreadable technical gibberish. Instead it was fascinating - as was much covered in the book.
Perhaps the most insightful part of the book was on the role Nationalism in strategy. Many countries are highly nationalistic - almost all are more so than the United States. At baseline many Americans have a poor understanding of how strategists in other countries view their adversaries (and their friends). This becomes somewhat more important when they have nuclear weapons.
Generals always prepare for the last war. So do politicians and bureaucracies. If history is any guide, I would wager that our next conflict will not involve terrorists and counterinsurgency. Perhaps it has been unwise to let our nuclear force atrophy - and to the author's point - to stop thinking about strategy in any meaningful way.
- Reviewed in the United States on February 25, 2013Format: HardcoverVerified PurchaseIn an era where the last of the Cold Warriors - the arms control bureaucracy which has now morphed into the global zero movement - have drowned out any sensible discussion of nuclear weapons Paul Bracken brings a clear-eyed view of what has been happening and what could happen. Using the history of the Cold War and how it unfolded he has laid out lessons for the second nuclear age which can be used to navigate our way forward.
Bracken's work eschews the political correctness that surrounds current US nuclear policy. While he is no nuclear hawk at the same time he does not get sucked into the bromides of the arms control cold warriors. His call for seriously analyzing the unfolding strategic environment and the role of nuclear weapons is essential to a future peaceful century. We ignore his advice at our peril.
Top reviews from other countries
R9Reviewed in Canada on December 10, 20235.0 out of 5 stars Excited to read it
Format: PaperbackVerified PurchaseHeard about this book from Micheal pillsbury. I’ve started reading it and have enjoyed reading it so far. There’s information I hadn’t heard on the subject from other writers.
Richard M BanksReviewed in the United Kingdom on July 16, 20145.0 out of 5 stars A must-read - for everyone
Format: KindleVerified PurchaseAbsolutely terrifying, wonderfully insightful and world-view changing. I cannot recommend this book enough,
CambriaReviewed in the United Kingdom on June 8, 20155.0 out of 5 stars Five Stars
Format: PaperbackVerified PurchaseShould be compulsive reading for all politicians in the UK.
Alex GeraldReviewed in the United Kingdom on February 2, 20251.0 out of 5 stars Printed on Demand
Format: PaperbackVerified PurchaseGreat book. Unfortunately this particular version is Amazon Print On Demand, and much lower quality than I was expecting.



















