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Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts Hardcover – February 6, 2018

4.1 out of 5 stars 443 ratings

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Frequently bought together

  • Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
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Total price: $52.67
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Editorial Reviews

Review

"A big favorite among investors these days." –The New York Times 
 
"A compact guide to probabilistic domains like poker, or venture capital... Recommend for people operating in the real world." –Marc Andreessen
 
“Outstanding.” –Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal

"Duke’s discussion is full of wisdom and also of fun, warmth, humor and humanity. Her sharp, data-driven analysis comes with a large lesson, which is that losers should be willing to forgive themselves: Sometimes the right play just doesn’t work." –Cass Sunstein, co-author of Nudge

"An elegant fusion of poker-table street-smarts and cognitive science insights. This book will make you both a shrewder and wiser player in the game of life." –Philip E. Tetlock, author of Superforecasting

"Thinking in Bets offers a compelling, and eminently useful, new way to think about life's decisions. Annie Duke has written an important, and often hilarious, book that will help you understand your own shortcomings--and make smarter choices as a result. You can bet on it." –Maria Konnikova, author of The Confidence Game and Mastermind

"The insights Duke offers in this book are incredibly helpful when we contemplate decisions in the face of multiple possible outcomes, and that renders her book enormously applicable to the world of investing." –Howard Marks, co-chairman, Oaktree Capital Management and author of The Most Important Thing

"Through wonderful storytelling and sly wit, Annie Duke has crafted the ultimate guide to thinking about risk. We can all learn how to make better decisions by learning from someone who made choices for a living, with millions on the line." –Charles Duhigg, author of The Power of Habit and Smarter Faster Better 

"Brilliant. Buy ten copies and give one to everyone you work with. It's that good." –Seth Godin, author of The Icarus Deception

"A mind-bending and indispensable book for entrepreneurs, leaders, and anyone who faces risk on a regular basis." –Olivia Fox Cabane, author of The Net and the Butterfly

“A highly-readable balance between memorable, real-world analogies and hardcore behavioral science studies... The book is packed with insights.” –John Greathouse, Forbes

About the Author

Annie Duke is a World Series of Poker bracelet winner, the winner of the 2004 Tournament of Champions and the only woman to win the NBC National Poker Heads Up Championship. Now, as a professional speaker and decision strategist, she merges her poker expertise with her cognitive psychology graduate work at UPenn. She is a founder of How I Decide, a non-profit that creates curricula and tools to improve decision making and critical thinking skills for under-served middle schoolers.

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Customer reviews

4.1 out of 5 stars
4.1 out of 5
443 customer ratings
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Reviewed in the United States on May 3, 2018
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526 people found this helpful
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Reviewed in the United States on February 6, 2018
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118 people found this helpful
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Reviewed in the United States on April 4, 2018
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Reviewed in the United States on April 15, 2018
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Top international reviews

Hande Z
2.0 out of 5 stars Heads she wins, tails you lose
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on April 11, 2019
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9 people found this helpful
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Peter - Denmark
3.0 out of 5 stars It is worthwhile - it gets better after 100 pages.
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on March 3, 2020
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Gumshoe
5.0 out of 5 stars How to make smart decisions
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on January 16, 2019
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Nathik
5.0 out of 5 stars Reading this book has been a good bet
Reviewed in India on September 3, 2018
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22 people found this helpful
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Clive F
4.0 out of 5 stars Sound techniques for making - on average - better decisions
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on May 10, 2018
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2 people found this helpful
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A Farooqui
5.0 out of 5 stars Fantastic insights for those who want to make better decisions!
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on March 8, 2018
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6 people found this helpful
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Wil Lau
3.0 out of 5 stars Good ideas but slightly underwhelming
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on April 3, 2020
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Amazn Customer
5.0 out of 5 stars Excellent book - Decision Making
Reviewed in India on August 22, 2018
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Raf
1.0 out of 5 stars Pointless
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on March 26, 2019
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The Reader
5.0 out of 5 stars Great book
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on March 21, 2018
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Daniel
3.0 out of 5 stars Plenty of takeaways, though a little dense to read
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on June 12, 2019
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sach
4.0 out of 5 stars Well written and some key ideas
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on July 11, 2018
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John Lee
5.0 out of 5 stars Great Read
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on January 10, 2020
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Annjana
3.0 out of 5 stars Expected more, but overall an alright read for info
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on May 18, 2020
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alessandro raboni
1.0 out of 5 stars Don’t bother
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on March 26, 2020
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