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Thirty Tomorrows: The Next Three Decades of Globalization, Demographics, and How We Will Live Hardcover – April 8, 2014
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“Milton Ezrati, fantastically well-versed in international finance, has a rare gift for explaining complex economic trends in clear and compelling prose. In Thirty Tomorrows he brings his formidable knowledge to bear on one of the greatest challenges facing America and Europe. He shows that aging populations need not spell doom for economic growth. His fascinating study does not form simply important but vital reading.” ―Jacob Heilbrunn, Editor, The National Interest
“A bold assessment of what population aging and globalization will mean to the way we work, organize production, and accumulate knowledge and wealth in the 21st century” ―Dr. Isaac Ehrlich, Chair of the Department of Economics at SUNY Buffalo and Editor-in-Chief, The Journal of Human Capital
“Ezrati offers a smart, readable synthesis…his panoramic, balanced perspective provides valuable insights into economic challenges ahead.” ―Publishers Weekly
“Ezrati provides useful insights into how programs should be structured to have meaningful results.” ―CPA Magazine
“A timely and thoughtful analysis.” ―Michael H. Armacost, former U.S. Ambassador to Japan on Kawari
“A rattling good read.” ―Brian Reading, author of Japan: The Coming Collapse on Kawari
“Ezrati is bolder and more speculative.” ―Foreign Affairs on Kawari
“A thought-provoking look at what might be in store.” ―San Jose Mercury News on Kawari
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Top Customer Reviews
First the positive. It is an easily read summary of globalization issues. It will, if nothing else, raise your awareness of the importance of issues frequently seen in the media these days. If you are looking for a high level introduction, then this is the book for you.
Now the negative. The material seems to have been written around 2008/2009, even though the copyright is 2014. The vast majority of the quoted statistics are from 2008/2009 as indicated by the footnotes in the back of the book. That said, the book is wonderfully footnoted, and the "stale" statistics don't diminish the validity of the basic points.
I felt some topics that have arisen since 2008/2009 were missing, or only mentioned in passing; for example, in the chapter on China, no mention is made of the potential credit bubble (shadow banking system), housing bubble, or pollution issues. Other topics that could have been discussed better or were missing include Abenomics, central bank QE, climatic impacts like water scarcity, and corruption/ease-of-doing-business concerns. Also missing was a discussion of Africa and the future impact of its huge building wave of youthful workers.
Erzati’s work is interesting and important to an understanding of the future investing environment. There will be broad global changes in market leadership. Demographic data and policy decisions will offer insights into the sustainability of trends as they emerge. Traders who understand these trends could be on the right side of decades-long trends, the type that defined the U.S. markets from 1982 to 2000.
Most Recent Customer Reviews
As a non-economist, I found the information contained in the book very intriguing. Milton does a great job of tackling difficult topics such as: economic policy, demographics,... Read morePublished 5 months ago by James R. Peters
Milton Ezrati wrote a book that I largely agree with and I think his chapter on China was pretty good, but don't bother buying it. Read morePublished 12 months ago by Matthew J. Turpin
Miton's writing is great for getting a reality check on the future. I will recommend it to my three 20 something nieces and their significant others as material they need to read... Read morePublished 20 months ago by su rudy
Thirty Tomorrows clearly and effectively presents the powerful influence that demographics will have in shaping the world’s economic, social and cultural issues for generations to... Read morePublished 22 months ago by David D Franecki
I couldn't get past the first 30 pages of this book. He makes sweeping statements with no analysis of what he is talking about. Furthermore, his statements do not ring true. Read morePublished on June 29, 2014 by Mark Waldin
Milton Ezrati is a world-renowned economist and a leading authority on demographic economics. I have always found his insights to be completely right for the moment and Thirty... Read morePublished on May 14, 2014 by D P SIMON
This book covers the waterfront, showing how everything is connected to everything else, aging demographics, women’s issues, new attitudes toward work and career, pay policies, the... Read morePublished on May 13, 2014 by Stephen G. Meyer