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You're Hired!: Untold Successes and Failures of a Populist President Hardcover – September 3, 2020
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As an insider, scholar, and Chief Economist of the President’s Council of Economic Advisers, Casey Mulligan presents riveting first-hand accounts of President Trump’s engagement with policy and politics. The struggle between Trump and a ruling class is skillfully presented by revealing business practices that President Trump is using to dismantle and reshape the Federal administrative state. It proves that today’s populism has some real substance, but also acknowledges Trump’s political incorrectness. You’re Hired! brilliantly details the administration’s successes and failures alongside the scandals, and accurately portrays the approach and capabilities of our President and our government.
You will feel like an insider as you learn how Trump handles auto companies, Senator Bernie Sanders, immigration, international aid, the 2016 election, Twitter, and more that the news media has often failed to report or explain. Rigorous evidence is detailed on assertions that the White House staff is in perpetual chaos which is directly attributable to the President.
- Print length256 pages
- LanguageEnglish
- PublisherRepublic Book Publishers
- Publication dateSeptember 3, 2020
- Dimensions6 x 1 x 9 inches
- ISBN-101645720136
- ISBN-13978-1645720133
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Editorial Reviews
Review
--Former White House official who asked to remain anonymous
"In this enjoyable and easy to read book, Casey Mulligan, former chief White House economist, explains the unconventional wisdom of the president, the achievements in rolling back ruling class rules that harmed middle and lower-income families, the success and limits of taking on special interests, the bias of the media, the instinct of government officials to shun information that their programs cause harm, the role of politics in shaping policy, and much more."
--Brian Blase, Former Special Assistant to President Trump for Economic Policy
"'The smartest guy in the White House. His numbers can always be trusted...' that is how Casey Mulligan was described to me when I first met him. And now he has written an insightful, honest, book about working in the Trump White House, free from score settling and self promotion. A MUST READ for anyone -- regardless of political affiliation -- interested in President Trump or the workings of the White House. Destined to be read and studied as a classic."
--Joseph Grogan, Former Assistant to President Trump for Domestic Policy
"The book is replete with wonderful policy analysis ... but [also] the description of the players in Washington is so unusual for a book of this type and that makes the book a good read in and of itself."
--Bob Zadek, entrepreneur and longtime radio host
"Profound, important, entertaining, economically solid, and easy to read. It will be one of the most important books of 2020."
--David R. Henderson, Hoover Institution and the Naval Postgraduate School
From the Author
Q1. What are some features of the book that make it enjoyable to read?
A1. Readers have at parts choked on their coffee (unanticipated hilarity; they survived). The final chapter is SAD.
As one reader explains, "what you will learn in the book is SO different than what you learn from mainstream media ... it is compelling and riveting."
Love him, hate him, or anywhere in between, President Trump is a fascinating character. Yet there are few careful, firsthand, candid observations about this president. As the same reader told me, "you didn't have an agenda you were just sharing what you had learned with the reading public and you do so quite beautifully if not brilliantly."
Q2. Does the book evade the topic of Trump's tariffs and immigration policy?
A2. No! Two chapters are dedicated to tariffs and a third chapter to immigration policy. They include what inside (the White House) economists cannot say and what outside economists do not know (although they should).
Q3. Does the book reveal who wrote the Anonymous oped and book?
A3. Pretty close. Chapter 5's detailed comparison of the accounts of Mr./Ms. Anonymous and what Mulligan saw with his own eyes in the Trump White House goes a long way toward identifying the author of those accounts. The author, for example, has some undergraduate training in history but no training in scholarship. For many more details about Mr./Ms. Anonymous, please read Chapter 5.
Q4. What is "populism"?
A4. Helen Dale's review of A Hillbilly Elegy describes how a "high-handed [policy-making] process relieves [policymakers] of the burden of thinking about what our rules will do to individuals on the receiving end. ...when people rebel at the ballot box, we are shocked." Populism is conflict between everyday Americans and a small, unelected, and insulated ruling class. The latter often claims that there is no real substance to populism and that the former have retreated into a primitive "us versus them mentality."
You're Hired! shows how the ruling class failed to fully appreciate the concerns of the rest of the country and is rarely accountable to them, which created political opportunities grasped by candidate Trump. The ruling class does not understand the costs of forcing people to buy health insurance. It struggles to remember that more people might see reversing the opioid epidemic as more urgent than reversing climate change. And, even while lacking many dimensions of wisdom, the ruling class will sometimes mock those that they rule.
Understanding populism, and not just from the ruling class perspective, is essential to understanding candidate and President Donald Trump.
Q5. You refer to a "ruling class" but haven't government officials, journalists and academic commentators earned their positions on the basis of their skills and achievements? Hasn't there been a "Triumph of the Technocrats"?
A5. The technocrats have certainly triumphed in that their pens/keyboards write the regulations and statutes. But systematic examinations of those rules (including, but not limited to, the findings of Mulligan and Patrick McLaughlin) reveals that the analysis of the technocrats borders on the absurd and is readily manipulated by special interests. Complementing the systematic examinations are the specific episodes described in the book.
Moreover, what is above is a charitable response to Q4. The book also shows how technocrats sometimes become invested in failed policies, make no effort to discover the failures, and sometimes actively attempt to hide evidence of them. The ongoing opioid epidemic is replete with significant examples (Chapter 4).
About the Author
Casey has received awards and fellowships from the Manhattan Institute, Wolfram Research, the National Tax Association, the Fraser Institute for Public Policy, and various foundations supporting economic research. His research covers capital and labor taxation, the gender wage gap, health economics, regulation, Social Security, voting and the economics of aging.
Mulligan has written widely on discrepancies between economic analysis and conventional wisdom. Before You’re Hired!, he wrote Chicago Price Theory (with Jaffe, Minton, and Murphy), Side Effects and Complications, The Redistribution Recession, and Parental Priorities and Economic Inequality. He has also written numerous opeds and blog entries for the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, the New York Post, the Chicago Tribune, and other blogs and periodicals. Follow @caseybmulligan on Twitter.
Product details
- Publisher : Republic Book Publishers (September 3, 2020)
- Language : English
- Hardcover : 256 pages
- ISBN-10 : 1645720136
- ISBN-13 : 978-1645720133
- Item Weight : 1.08 pounds
- Dimensions : 6 x 1 x 9 inches
- Best Sellers Rank: #602,147 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
- #873 in United States Executive Government
- #1,450 in Political Conservatism & Liberalism
- #1,459 in US Presidents
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President Obama recruited an All Star Team of talented economists to work in his Administration. Perhaps surprising to some, President Trump has also recruited talented economists to work in his Administration. Given that skill and human capital is the key for any organization to function well, it is crucial at this key juncture in American history for every President to recruit skilled people. The decisions made in the White House affect the world. Thus, it is crucial that each President have access to prominent social scientists who understand the research frontier in their respective fields and have some appreciation for the art of how policy is made in Washington.
Professor Mulligan writes in lively prose as he discusses the key policy issues that he worked on and how these issues affect America's middle class. Readers will gain a new appreciation for how the University of Chicago's economic approach helps to explain and predict human behavior. During a time when the U.S government continues to grow, we need to have a calm discussion and analysis of the intended and unintended consequences of government regulation.
The first thing to note is that the US has sustained a period of (unreported) high growth recently:
“GDP growth during the four quarters of 2018 was the fastest since 2005. This Administration is the first on record to have experienced economic growth that meets or exceeds its own forecasts in each of its first two years in office.”
And:
"President Obama’s CEA predicted 3 percent real GDP growth nearly every year through 2016, while the Federal Reserve and the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) offered similar predictions. Actual growth never exceeded the White House forecasts and usually fell far short of them: 1.5 percentage points short in each of 2011 and 2012 and 1.0 percentage points short in 2015. This all reversed in 2017, 2018, and 2019, when actual growth beat the Federal Reserve’s forecasts each year."
The genesis of this has been the Trump administration's focus on budgeting the costs of regulation. For each new regulation, two must be abolished. Hard caps (some negative) were put on the costs of each new regulation. Deregulation does not mean eviscerating environmental rules. Only one percent of the costs savings have been from environmental deregulation. This is because regulations do not exist for the environment but rather for special interests. The net result of all of this: "CEA estimates that President Trump’s approach to regulation will increase annual household real incomes by almost $4,000 per year."
One advisor, Brian Blase, needed only 29 months to execute on these policy improvements:
-Allowed more small businesses to form Association Health Plans (17th month; creating an annual net benefit of $13 billion)
-Expanded Short-Term Limited Duration Health Insurance plans (19th month, creating an annual net benefit of $12 billion)
-Created individual-coverage Health Reimbursement Accounts (29th month; CEA has not yet quantified a net benefit).
Another advisor, Andrew Bremberg, needed only 16 months to overturn certain Obama administration regulations, "Measured in terms of economic impact, this work was prolific, encompassing 16 separate parts. Together, they are expected to increase annual real incomes by more than $40 billion."
Perhaps most visibly, the Obamacare mandate was jettisoned. This rule was a hand out to insurers, forcing consumers to pay more for extensive plans they may not want. Subsidies were doled out and simpler, more competitive plans were shut down.
Other parts of Obamacare were also re-examined. Most critically, the subsidization of prescription drugs led many to become opioid addicts: “83 percent of the growth between 2001 and 2010 in the death rate involving prescription opioids was due to reduced prices." And, "between the years 2000 and 2016, over 300,000 Americans died from drug overdoses involving opioids." While Democrats focused on climate change, other countries and Trump, their own policies were hurting many Americans:
"One of those failures is a provision of the 2010 Affordable Care Act (ACA) that requires health plans to cover “benzos,” which are prescription tranquilizers such as Valium and Xanax. This requirement dramatically reduced the out-of-pocket cost of those drugs and increased the quantities sold, especially when distributed through the federally-financed health insurance program Medicare, which had not previously covered the drugs (Medicaid had limited coverage of them)."
"Between 2001 and 2010, three-fourths of growth of opioid prescriptions came from government programs.
[i]t wasn’t the monthly SSI check people cared so much about; rather, they wanted the Medicaid card that came with it. …For a three-dollar Medicaid co-pay, therefore, an addict got pills priced at a thousand dollars, with the difference paid for by U.S. and state taxpayers. A user could turn around and sell those pills, obtained for that three-dollar co-pay, for as much as ten thousand dollars on the street. Combined with pill mills, the Medicaid card scam allowed prolific quantities of prescription medication to hit the streets.” The anecdotes and academic studies are not gospel, but at least we should agree that, with such a high fatality rate, the roles of prices, Medicare, and Medicaid require urgent study."
"By contrast, the financial incentives created by the hospital-quality measures were recognized earlier by an Indiana task force assembled in 2015 by then-Governor Mike Pence, which also recommended enhanced criminal penalties for drug dealers."
The most heterodox parts of the book describe Trump's character. Mulligan has dealt with many politicians and in particular excoriates the modus operandi of Jeb Bush. In contrast, the book highlights Trumps yearning to hear different voices. Often times, he seeks public comments and allows staff to openly debate. He experiments and is unpredictable so as to test results. He has invested heavily in economic research ("President Trump has more supply and demand analysis in his Economic Reports of the President than all other presidents combined").
His bombastic tweets lead the media to "unwittingly disseminate the intended finding." Yet most of the bureaucracy and media attack him. Shockingly:
During the 2016 campaign, 95 percent of the presidential-campaign donations made by civilian Federal employees went to the Democratic nominee. Among employees at the State Department (the Federal agency in charge of foreign policy and international relations), the statistic was 99 percent. It is not controversial to point out the Clinton-Trump donation ratio among Federal employees, 19 to 1, is not representative of the 1.7 to 1 ratio among their fellow citizens.
And as mentioned by Mark Levin:
Journalist Jim Rutenberg: “If you’re a working journalist and you believe that Donald J. Trump is a demagogue playing to the nation’s worst racist and nationalistic tendencies, that he cozies up to anti-American dictators and that he would be dangerous with control of the United States nuclear codes, how the heck are you supposed to cover him? … [I]f you believe all of those things, you have to throw out the textbook American journalism has been using for the better part of the past half-century ….”
The author concludes:
"President Trump has had notable policy successes, many of them underreported, if reported at all. The 2017 tax reform law brought business-tax rates in line with the rest of the world. President Trump’s Food and Drug Administration reduced prescription drug prices by removing regulations protecting special interests. President Trump’s Department of Labor increased employment and wages by removing costly regulations on employers. Obamacare’s individual mandate has been repealed. Hundreds of other regulations have been removed, some of which had been put in place at the behest of large banks, trial lawyers, major health insurance companies, big tech companies, and labor unions. This is not an exhaustive list."
List of other areas of regulation targeted:
-Restoring Internet Freedom rule.
-Rule on GHG emissions, estimated to save $3,000/car
-2018 Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief, and Consumer Protection Act
-Regulation Q
-Giving states permission to mandate employers to enroll workers in state-administered retirement accounts
-On Kidney Donation
-On Fracking
-Prescription Drugs ("from the end of 2017 to the end of 2018 prescription drug prices had fallen close to 1% in nominal terms and nearly 3% below general inflation. It had been 46 calendar years since prescription drug prices did that.")
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There is an alternative view: this is that of a well-read and well-prepared President. He knows what he wishes to accomplish, and uses whatever instruments necessary to accomplish these aims. More to the point, he understands the issues and is not afraid to take advice where he doesn’t. Finally, it is a pleasure to work for him in a smoothly functioning Administration.
The latter picture is the one painted in this book by Casey B Mulligan who worked in President Trump’s Council of Economic Advisors. True or not is up to each reader to decide. But given that the overwhelming picture of Donald Trump is the negative one, it is right to read the alternative view and then try to make up your mind.


