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In the Shadows of the American Century: The Rise and Decline of US Global Power (Dispatch Books) Paperback – September 12, 2017
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Alfred W. McCoy
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Print length359 pages
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LanguageEnglish
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PublisherHaymarket Books
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Publication dateSeptember 12, 2017
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Dimensions5.9 x 1.3 x 8.9 inches
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ISBN-101608467732
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ISBN-13978-1608467730
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Editorial Reviews
Review
In the Shadows of the American Century persuasively argues for the inevitable decline of the American empire and the rise of China. Whether or not one is a believer in American power, the case that Alfred McCoy makes—that much of America’s decline is due to its own contradictions and failures—is a sad one. He provides a glimmer of hope that America can ease into the role of a more generous, more collaborative, if less powerful, world player. Let’s hope that Americans will listen to his powerful arguments." —Viet Thanh Nguyen, Pulitzer Prize-winning author of the Sympathizer
“[A] brilliant and deeply informed must-read for anyone seriously interested in geopolitics, the history of Empire, and the shape of the future.” —New York Journal of Books
"What is the character of this American empire?" Alfred McCoy asks at the outset of this provocative study. His answer not only limns the contours of the American imperium as it evolved during the twentieth century, but explains why its days are quite likely numbered. This is history with profound relevance to events that are unfolding before our eyes.
—Andrew J. Bacevich, author of America's War for the Greater Middle East: A Military History
"Alfred McCoy offers a meticulous, eye-opening account of the rise, since 1945, and impending premature demise of the American Century of world domination. As the empire’s political, economic, and military strategies unravel under cover of secrecy, America’s neglected citizens would do well to read this book."—Ann Jones, author of They Were Soldiers
"Sobering reading for geopolitics mavens and Risk aficionados alike..." —Kirkus
"McCoy’s detailed, panoramic analysis of the past, present, and future of the American empire covers all spheres of activity including not just land, sea, air, space, and cyberspace, but also the netherworld of covert operations--and seasons all of this with some fascinating personal vignettes. His new book, The Shadows of the American Century, joins the essential short list of scrupulous historical and comparative studies of the United States as an awesome, conflicted, technologically innovative, routinely atrocious, and ultimately hubristic imperial power."—John Dower, Pulitzer Prize-winning author of Embracing Defeat, War Without Mercy, and The Violent American Century
“One of our best and most underappreciated historians takes a hard look at the truth of our empire, both its covert activities and the reasons for its impending decline,” —Oliver Stone
"In the Shadows of the American Century is a valuable contribution to geopolitical discourse that draws
important lessons from history."—Foreword Reviews
"McCoy’s latest book, In the Shadow of the American Century: The Rise and Decline of U.S. Global Power, provides an autopsy on a dying empire, which has squandered its moral capital by promoting wide-scale torture and mass surveillance....The end of empire scenarios relayed by McCoy in dark terms could in turn provide positive opportunities for societal change as the necessity for constant war is removed." —The Progressive
About the Author
Product details
- Publisher : Haymarket Books (September 12, 2017)
- Language : English
- Paperback : 359 pages
- ISBN-10 : 1608467732
- ISBN-13 : 978-1608467730
- Item Weight : 1.1 pounds
- Dimensions : 5.9 x 1.3 x 8.9 inches
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Best Sellers Rank:
#371,343 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
- #2,547 in History & Theory of Politics
- #4,518 in International & World Politics (Books)
- #14,041 in World History (Books)
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Top reviews from the United States
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First, it’s future-oriented. The question that ties the book together is “What does America do now?” McCoy is a first-rate historian, and there is a lot about the past. But the review of the past is directed to encouraging Americans—leaders, readers, and citizens—to grasp what we can and should do in the challenging decade ahead. It’s not a call to action so much as an overview that could help make intelligent action possible.
Second, perspectival shifts give depth and nuance to the panorama McCoy paints. The book begins with the “US Global Power and Me,” a personal, anecdotal account, and then shifts radically to geopolitical theory: a surprising turn, but one which gives insightful architecture to the book as a whole. Plenty of history follows, but narrative is always in the service of eliciting basic patterns in imperial America’s conduct, which are in turn related to the historical dynamics of empire. For example, we find out plenty of details regarding America’s use and promulgation of torture, but also learn about the role torture has played in shoring up and unwinding empires. A good combination of specifics and generalities.
Third, the book speaks to a lot of different people, not only history buffs and armchair policy experts but also servants of the imperium at the Pentagon, agencies, think tanks, and so on. It works because McCoy, like Andrew Bacevich, is exposing follies and abuses out of patriotic motives. He wants America’s rivalry with China to work to the benefit of America, and hence the world. The result is a book that is controversial without being ideological.
McCoy is pragmatic, not dogmatic. He insists on the practical need for a strategy commensurate with America’s power and goals, and gives Obama surprisingly high marks for at least trying to pivot in a direction that responds to the challenge of Chinese ascendancy. The author’s avoidance of pat conclusions will dissatisfy readers who want to be given answers and stimulate those willing to seek out answers themselves.
Here, Dr. McCoy's main thesis is that the American Century will likely come to a close before it reaches its 100th birthday. If we take the end of World War II as the beginning of this American Century, then the period of American world dominance will not last until 2044. Most often, Dr. McCoy cites the year 2030 as the year when China is likely to surpass the United States in terms of World Power.
Certainly, there are signs already that American power is in decline. Recent events in the Middle East, in particular, reveal Russia to be a more effective player in International Politics than the United States. Syria, Russia's ally, is on the way to defying all odds and to weathering the storm of "regime change" once heralded for it by neoconservative think tank toadies in the United States. This is a startling new development in a region that had been a true sphere of influence for the United States for many long years.
McCoy cites the absurd American Wars in Afghanistan and Iraq as the beginning of the end of American dominance. And this is a very fair proposition. The United States wasted a gargantuan amount of blood and treasure in these two conflicts, to no evident avail. Even now, President Trump is attempting to negotiate an exit from the Afghanistan graveyard of empires. And it is not proving easy for the "Great Deal Maker". (Are you tired of winning yet, America?)
Now, we must admit the difficulty in assessing the relative power of nations until such nations take the drastic step of going to war. Fortunately, there are ways of assessing this relative power short of armed conflict. As a former US Navy Officer, I was always an avid consumer of Jane's Fighting Ships and their other excellent publications that assessed the war fighting capabilities of the various nations. However, the reality is that this analysis is purely a technological one. Now, a warship at sea is the most complex form of social interdependence known to man. The lives of each man in the crew literally depend on the effective performance of duty of each other man. So, a pure technological assessment can not reveal true war fighting capabilities. Leadership and the quality of the crew matter a great deal.
Political Scientist A F K Organski of the University of Michigan gave us some excellent tools for measuring this elusive idea of world power decades ago. Organski argued that GDP, tempered by Population, was as good an approximation as any to measure this aspect of International Power. Looking at this, we see that the United States may, as of the time of this writing, still lead the world on account of a slightly larger GDP that its closest rival, China. However, when we adjust GDP by PPP, which is Purchasing Power Parity, we see that China has already surpassed the United States in "real" GDP. Furthermore, it is perhaps useful to consider GDP as percentage of National Debt. Here we see that that the GDP of the US is actually much less than its astronomical National Debt. Will the National Debt of the US ever be paid off? It does not seem likely. The government of the United States is in something of a position of an indentured servant to the International Bankers. This perhaps explains some of the otherwise inexplicable machinations of modern American Foreign Policy.
However, it seems that we need to look beyond the numbers to articulated strategies and successes of the competing nations. A resurgent Russia has allied with the burgeoning power of China to form an immensely potentially powerful coalition on what Mackinder styled years ago as the World Island. China, in cooperation with Russia and other European and Asian nations is building out the New Silk Road, assuring connectivity of commerce throughout this vast region. China and Russia are both building military arsenals that already challenge the hegemony of the United States. To me, it seems clear that the International Power in the years to come will emanate from this alliance. With this in mind, it is perhaps fair to say that the alliance of Russia and China is already capable of deterring American power. A truly careful look at the headlines will probably confirm this position.
Back to McCoy's great book, the Professor also deals at length with US government involvement both in illicit narcotics trade and in torture. In a way, these aspects illustrate the moral decay of the United States. And perhaps this would go to the above allusion relative to the quality of the crew. A society in moral decay simply can not match a coalition on the rise. And that is perhaps the main point.
In any case, we are much indebted to Professor McCoy for this excellent and thought provoking book. And we wish him God's speed as he continues to pursue his amazing and important career.
God Bless.
Tozer
Guadalajara, Jalisco, Mexico 09-Mar-20







