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Inevitable Disaster: Why Hurricanes Can't Be Blamed On Global Warming Kindle Edition

4.6 4.6 out of 5 stars 173 ratings

After major hurricanes Harvey and Irma made landfall in the United States in 2017, and as Hurricane Florence approaches the Carolinas in 2018, there have been renewed calls to do something about global warming. The popular perception that landfalling hurricanes in the U.S. are becoming more frequent or more severe, however, is shown to be incorrect. The 30 costliest hurricanes in U.S. history have indeed become more expensive in recent decades, but it is demonstrated that as damages have increased, hurricane intensity has not. The cause of increasing damages is increasing population and infrastructure in hurricane-prone areas. History has demonstrated that major hurricanes, sometimes arriving in pairs, have been part of Atlantic and Gulf coastal life for centuries. Even lake bottom sediments in Texas and Florida reveal more catastrophic hurricane landfalls 1,000 to 2,000 years ago than have happened more recently. Over the last 150 years, the number of major hurricanes hitting Texas has been the same when Gulf of Mexico water temperatures were below normal as when they were above normal. Harvey's record-setting rainfall totals were due to its slow movement, which cannot be traced to global warming (August 2017 was quite cool over most of the U.S.), combined with substantial land subsidence preventing rivers from draining more rapidly to the ocean. Major hurricane strikes in Florida since 1900 have, if anything, become somewhat less frequent and less severe. What has changed in Florida, again, is coastal development. The Miami - Fort Lauderdale metroplex now has a population of over 6 million, whereas a little over 100 years ago it was nearly zero. As a result, our vulnerability to major hurricane strikes has increased dramatically. Even with no change in hurricane activity, hurricane damages will continue to increase along with wealth and infrastructure in coastal areas. It is only a matter of time before our first trillion-dollar hurricane catastrophe occurs, and it will happen with our without carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuel use.

Product details

  • ASIN ‏ : ‎ B075QN3KFY
  • Publication date ‏ : ‎ September 17, 2017
  • Language ‏ : ‎ English
  • File size ‏ : ‎ 9262 KB
  • Text-to-Speech ‏ : ‎ Enabled
  • Screen Reader ‏ : ‎ Supported
  • Enhanced typesetting ‏ : ‎ Enabled
  • X-Ray ‏ : ‎ Not Enabled
  • Word Wise ‏ : ‎ Enabled
  • Sticky notes ‏ : ‎ On Kindle Scribe
  • Print length ‏ : ‎ 65 pages
  • Customer Reviews:
    4.6 4.6 out of 5 stars 173 ratings

About the author

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Roy W. Spencer
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Roy W. Spencer is a Principal Research Scientist at the University of Alabama in Huntsville. He was formerly a Senior Scientist for Climate Studies at NASA. He is co-developer of the original satellite method for precise monitoring of global temperatures from Earth-orbiting satellites. He has provided congressional testimony several times on the subject of global warming and authored the 2008 New York Times bestseller, Climate Confusion.

Customer reviews

4.6 out of 5 stars
4.6 out of 5
173 global ratings

Customers say

Customers find the book very informative, well-written, and accurate. They also describe the writing style as easy to read.

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26 customers mention "Content"26 positive0 negative

Customers find the book very informative, logical, and rational. They say the author uses common sense and a fact-based approach to explain about hurricanes. Readers also say it's a refreshing quick book to read on hurricanes and global warming. They mention it goes a long way to correct misinformation, has interesting stories, and has quotable bits about hurricane.

"...There were maps that I have not previously seen that were extremely interesting, such as one showing the "return frequency" of major..." Read more

"...Spend the money and give it a read. It was refreshing to see real scientific investigation at work." Read more

"...This one provides some interesting viewpoints. So do the others." Read more

"...The information presented is a real eyeopener: hurricanes in the past have been horrific, well before any significant human-caused CO2 contributions...." Read more

9 customers mention "Writing style"9 positive0 negative

Customers find the writing style easy to read and excellent for a fast read. They also say the book is a good read, but they need more details.

"Great read. An objective look at the actual data on hurricanes hitting the US...." Read more

"Spencer makes the information clear and easily understood. He writes from an expert background, unlike Al Gore, et al...." Read more

"...An easy read that is short, sweet and to the point...." Read more

"...because the charts and grafts are in full color which made it easier to understand. Great insight..." Read more

3 customers mention "Length"3 positive0 negative

Customers find the book very short but informative on hurricanes and climate. They also say it's fact-filled.

"This is a short but incredibly fact-filled and fascinating book. I read it in about half an hour and learned much on each page...." Read more

"A very short but very informative ebook on hurricanes and climate change. Love the little history on earlier hurricanes in our history...." Read more

"Short, but packed with good input..." Read more

Top reviews from the United States

Reviewed in the United States on September 19, 2017
This is a short but incredibly fact-filled and fascinating book. I read it in about half an hour and learned much on each page. There were maps that I have not previously seen that were extremely interesting, such as one showing the "return frequency" of major hurricanes for the Eastern Seaboard. There we learn that major hurricanes tend to appear every decade or so at South Florida and Louisiana, decreasing as we go north until we reach Maine, which can only expect a major hurricane to hit every 150 years or so.

With Harvey and Irma on our minds, it was fascinating to note multiple previous cases of major hurricanes hitting the same area within 10 days or so, as in Mobile. Alabama in 1740, Charleston, SC in 1752, Virginia and North Carolina in 1795. Spencer provides a table showing the enormous growth in population on the East Coast between 1960 and 2008, ranging from 15% in New York to 262% in Florida. It is this that leads Spencer, normally the opposite of an alarmist, to note that it is only a matter of time before the first trillion-dollar hurricane will occur. Spencer provides data showing that the Accumulated Cyclonic Energy of hurricanes has gone down, not up, over the last century.

Besides the excellent short summary of hurricane history over the past few centuries, Spencer provides a short analysis of what makes a hurricane so destructive. Despite the claims of many "experts" that the warm waters are the main determinant, Spencer finds that hurricanes of equal destructiveness can occur when the water is both warmer and cooler than normal for the tropics. Instead, wind shear, which affects the sharpness of the temperature gradient with height and thus affects the ability of the hurricane to maintain its pattern, is of primary importance.

There is also a short section on sea level rise, which has been very steady over the past couple of centuries, not accelerating as would be expected if global warming itself is accelerating. However, Spencer points out that land subsidence, such as in Miami, is doubling the local effect on flooding.

Spencer is a meteorologist who for many years has operated the NASA satellite program measuring temperature in the atmosphere. His book is thus very reasonable and informed. I recommend it highly. (Price is right, too.)
13 people found this helpful
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Reviewed in the United States on September 10, 2019
Great read. An objective look at the actual data on hurricanes hitting the US.

It was pretty clear that hurricanes are not statistically on the increase in numbers or intensity over the last 100 years. We just have more people building in the danger zones thus causing more damage.

Seems climate change isn't to blame. It's just the cycle of weather. Spend the money and give it a read. It was refreshing to see real scientific investigation at work.
One person found this helpful
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Reviewed in the United States on May 5, 2018
Dr Spencer has written several books on the causes and effects of climate change. This one provides some interesting viewpoints. So do the others.
Reviewed in the United States on October 22, 2017
Spencer makes the information clear and easily understood. He writes from an expert background, unlike Al Gore, et al. The information presented is a real eyeopener: hurricanes in the past have been horrific, well before any significant human-caused CO2 contributions. He also makes it clear that one of these days we will experience our first trillion dollar hurricane, not because hurricanes are getting stronger or more frequent than in the past (they're not), but because we continue to build at the water's edge. The book offers some clarity in an emotionally clouded area.
Reviewed in the United States on September 21, 2017
A very short but very informative ebook on hurricanes and climate change. Love the little history on earlier hurricanes in our history. As I said very informative and well worth the read. For a more detailed and technical e-book or book on climate change read Dr Spencer's: The Great Global Warming Blunder: How Mother Nature Fooled the World's Top Climate Scientists
2 people found this helpful
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Reviewed in the United States on January 11, 2018
Excellent record of major hurricanes to hit the US from Colonial times to the present. Climate change has nothing to do with the size or strength of Hurricanes - many of the strongest occurred in the 19th and early 20th centuries. Our coastal population has grown exponentially thus there is extensive damage for a major hurricane that in the 19th and early 20th centuries would create little disruption. It is inevitable that we will deal with major economic damage and loss of life today and into the future when (not if) a major hurricane strikes anywhere on our coast. It is not climate change but the ongoing development of coastal cities and communities that are susceptible to hurricane damage. Hurricanes are no stronger today than they ever were.
2 people found this helpful
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Reviewed in the United States on September 25, 2017
A refreshing quick book to read on hurricanes and global warming. The author explains logically and rationally while using REAL science to explain about hurricanes and their disastrous effects on North America. I am growing weary of hearing about global warming and CO2 emissions while these hypocritical politicians and celebrities preach about carbon footprints while they cruise around in their carbon belching jets and SUVs.
One person found this helpful
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Reviewed in the United States on September 25, 2017
Where the quasi-religious dogma of climate change leading to devastating storms meets historical precedent, science and reason, and the former loses by knockout. An easy read that is short, sweet and to the point.

I purchased and read Spencer's An Inconvenient Deception and Inevitable Disaster back-to-back having read his other works in the past. Read Gore if you like comic books; read Spencer if you want to learn something.
One person found this helpful
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Top reviews from other countries

Dave Leskiw
5.0 out of 5 stars Hurricanes were as serious and more frequent in the past
Reviewed in Canada on September 29, 2017
It was interesting to see the historical frequency of hurricanes over the past 400 years. The frequency of hurricanes has really decreased in the last 10 to 20 years. I really liked the illustration on sea level rise. The rate of Sea level rise hasn't changed in the last 100 years. The bigger problem is that the land is sinking along the coastlines at the same time that the sea water is rising. The fact that the coast is now very heavily populated is our biggest problem.The book is a sound factual analysis of the data. We need to spend our money strengthening infrastructure if we are going to continue to have millions of people living directly in the hurricanes path.
One person found this helpful
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2101bob
5.0 out of 5 stars Why weather is just weather
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on April 23, 2018
If you wonder why every time we get a weather event the BBC and other True Believers in AGW (anthropogenic global warming) scream "climate change disaster!", this book won't entirely explain their behaviour; but it will reassure you that the sky is not about to fall upon us, or at least no more than it has done for the past few millions of years. And proves, moreover, that climate catastrophes are pretty much old hat for our planet, and are not suddenly increasing in number.
2 people found this helpful
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DAS
5.0 out of 5 stars Five Stars
Reviewed in Canada on October 12, 2017
This is an accessible intro to hurricane causes and history.
Millernium
5.0 out of 5 stars Excellent Summary of the Topic
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on September 24, 2017
Concise and to the point with references to further reading, and putting the subject in a clear historical framework, this is a timely counter to the hurricane-force lunacy of the main stream media and its useful idiots.
2 people found this helpful
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William
5.0 out of 5 stars Excellent
Reviewed in Canada on September 19, 2017
Excellent!

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