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Pakistan on the Brink: The Future of America, Pakistan, and Afghanistan Paperback – February 26, 2013
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Ahmed Rashid, one of the world's leading experts on the social and political situations in Pakistan and Afghanistan, offers a highly anticipated update on the possibilities—and hazards—facing the United States after the death of Osama bin Laden and as Operation Enduring Freedom winds down. With the characteristic professionalism that has made him the preeminent independent journalist in Pakistan for three decades, Rashid asks the important questions and delivers informed insights about the future of U.S. relations with the troubled region. His most urgent book to date, Pakistan on the Brink is the third volume in a comprehensive series that is a call to action to our nation's leaders and an exposition of this conflict's impact on the security of the world.
- Print length256 pages
- LanguageEnglish
- Publication dateFebruary 26, 2013
- Dimensions5.31 x 0.64 x 8 inches
- ISBN-109780143122838
- ISBN-13978-0143122838
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Customers find the book insightful and useful for understanding the current situation in the war on terror. They find it a concise overview that raises difficult questions without sugarcoating them. However, some readers feel the book is not easy to read and reads like a long diatribe.
AI-generated from the text of customer reviews
Customers find the book insightful and useful for understanding the current situation in the war on terror. They say it's worth reading to understand details in the region and a good companion piece to Riedel's book.
"...The author has high credibility due to his years of work on the subject...." Read more
"...This is a worthwhile read for those that want to comprehend a bit of what has transpired and could happen...." Read more
"In this useful book, the author says about Pakistan, "For too long the military and political parties have neglected their one single task, which is..." Read more
"...As such it makes a good companion piece to Riedel's book...." Read more
Customers have different views on the book's readability. Some find it concise and easy to understand, with pertinent information. Others feel it's not an easy read and reads as a long diatribe.
"...job at, chapter by chapter, tearing those layers apart and explaining them in great depth...." Read more
"...Instead, it reads as a long diatribe on how the US has continued to screw up, how Karzai has continued to fail as a leader in the largely clan..." Read more
"...Well written, easy to read with tons of pertinent information." Read more
"...He minces no words to ask hard questions...." Read more
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Afghanistan
Top reviews from the United States
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- Reviewed in the United States on May 2, 2012I finished one book, which described the strained relationship the US has with Pakistan and needed to read more on the future of our relations with Pakistan due to our extended period of conflict within Afghanistan. When reading Ahmed Rashid you get an insight that is not really covered in other literature on the subject, a sensitive subject a matter of fact because of our constant willingness or need to work with Pakistan even knowing what they have continued to fail to provide with the US in terms of assistance. The provide us what keeps us satisfied but have not crossed the line in really working to provide the assistance that would warrant the amount of money and assistance we have been providing of a decade. The book does a great job in understanding the delicate balance both countries have been working to please each other while keeping the public at bay. Even with the work the CIA has done within Pakistan and Afghanistan the geopolitics and regional players that have stepped in have created a framework in understanding how foreign policy and the "war on terrorism" will continue to be a factor in the development of the globalized world.
- Reviewed in the United States on April 2, 2012Like the first two books by Rashid, "Taliban" and "Decent in Chaos", he offers a perspective most of us from the West often overlook. As a Pakistani with historical insights to what happened in the past provides a vision for what is happening now and for the future.
That said, I worked Paktia and Khost provinces early 2003 with involvement in the standing up the 1st Provincial Reconstruction Team (PRT) in Gardez. Although, it was a long time ago (and followed by Iraq), my perspective at long term national building, democratic institutions and essentially long term stability had a faint chance..even back then of success. Today, the issues remain the same....infrastructure development, sustain peace and security, credible government and leadership at the national and provincial levels.
I do take exception to Rashid's posture that the West is responsible for all or most of the mistakes with the elements of nation building as mentioned in the previous paragraph. The Afghan's themselves have yet to experience the "Arab Spring" kind of momentum at any level. In general, the population stands aside and allows the international community to do what they do. Certainly, some blame rests on our mentality..."do it our way" kind of mandate.
Feudalism mixed with tribal and cultural/language issues result in Afghanistan being many different countries in one. That is how it is now and will be for generations.
And as for Pakistan...the country has never fully dedicated its resources to assisting the west in eliminating the Taliban from the tribal areas adjacent to Afghanistan. This we all know...so, how can ISAF attain any sense of stability along the border areas when training camps continue to breed extremist jihadist.
But, the most critical component to Afghanistan sliding back into chaos was the invasion of Iraq. I watched while critical personnel assets and funding commitments melted away because of the Iraq War..a war of choice.
If and when the historians cast blame for the failure of Afghanistan...and Iraq..it must be due to the Bush-Cheney decision to "free the people of Iraq". Those two also contributed to the financial disasters which remain at issue during the upcoming election. I only hope the faceless souls of those lost visit Bush, Cheney and Rumsfelt each and every night of their collective lives.
The faces of those lost in Iraq and Afghanistan..many I knew..... maybe lost in history, but to their dedication and sacrifice..and to their families who suffer everyday...we will never forget.
Afghanistan/Iraq/Sudan/Balkans
US Army
Like the first two books by Rashid, "Taliban" and "Decent in Chaos", he offers a perspective most of us from the West often overlook. As a Pakistani with historical insights to what happened in the past provides a vision for what is happening now and for the future.
That said, I worked Paktia and Khost provinces early 2003 with involvement in the standing up the 1st Provincial Reconstruction Team (PRT) in Gardez. Although, it was a long time ago (and followed by Iraq), my perspective at long term national building, democratic institutions and essentially long term stability had a faint chance..even back then of success. Today, the issues remain the same....infrastructure development, sustain peace and security, credible government and leadership at the national and provincial levels.
I do take exception to Rashid's posture that the West is responsible for all or most of the mistakes with the elements of nation building as mentioned in the previous paragraph. The Afghan's themselves have yet to experience the "Arab Spring" kind of momentum at any level. In general, the population stands aside and allows the international community to do what they do. Certainly, some blame rests on our mentality..."do it our way" kind of mandate.
Feudalism mixed with tribal and cultural/language issues result in Afghanistan being many different countries in one. That is how it is now and will be for generations.
And as for Pakistan...the country has never fully dedicated its resources to assisting the west in eliminating the Taliban from the tribal areas adjacent to Afghanistan. This we all know...so, how can ISAF attain any sense of stability along the border areas when training camps continue to breed extremist jihadist.
But, the most critical component to Afghanistan sliding back into chaos was the invasion of Iraq. I watched while critical personnel assets and funding commitments melted away because of the Iraq War..a war of choice.
If and when the historians cast blame for the failure of Afghanistan...and Iraq..it must be due to the Bush-Cheney decision to "free the people of Iraq". Those two also contributed to the financial disasters which remain at issue during the upcoming election. I only hope the faceless souls of those lost visit Bush, Cheney and Rumsfelt each and every night of their collective lives.
The faces of those lost in Iraq and Afghanistan..many I knew..... maybe lost in history, but to their dedication and sacrifice..and to their families who suffer everyday...we will never forget.
Afghanistan/Iraq/Sudan/Balkans
US Army
Images in this review
- Reviewed in the United States on March 15, 2014.Pakistan may be the “most failed” in the list of failed nations. It certainly is the most dangerous to the peace and security of South Asia and much of the rest of the world. Pakistan has a large, well equipped and trained military over which civilian government has little control or even influence. The army has deposed governments in the past but seems now to be content with wielding whatever power is available to the central authorities while leaving hopelessly corrupt and inept civilian elites to deal with messy problems like making excuses to the United States (a chief source of funding) for not cracking down on the Taliban while wringing their hands over the attempted murder of Malala Yousafzai, the teenage girl that the Taliban tried to assassinate, or begging aid from no longer receptive donor countries for major disasters like the 2010 floods, donors who know that the majority of the aid granted will be stolen.
A major reason for Pakistan’s steadily worsening relations with neighboring countries and with the Muslim world generally is the continued use of proxy jihadist forces in addition to the Taliban like Lashkar-e-Taiba a group founded by the Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI), the spy service for the military. Lashkar-e-Taiba was initially deployed against the Indian army in Kashmir but soon spun out of the control of their masters, no longer willing to do the state’s bidding and turning against the insufficiently Islamist military. The Pakistani Taliban and other jihadist groups created with the connivance of the military are now (according to Rashid and it is impossible to disagree with him) the real existential threat to Pakistan, even while they still consider India to be their most dangerous enemy. And, of course, a final state collapse of Pakistan would mean a free-for-all over control of its nuclear weapons, an issue never far from the minds of Western, Chinese and Indian policymakers.
Despite being an agricultural country there have been no breakthroughs in the technology of farming or any new crops developed in Pakistan—its economy continues to export its cotton and rice and import manufactured goods. There has been no investment in upgrading the skills of its workforce or real improvements in infrastructure (electric power is cut for up to ten hours per day—every day—in the cities and more in rural areas) to attract industry, due to corruption and lack of interest of civil authorities.
Much of what Rashid writes about Afghanistan (about half the book) would be known to anyone who has paid attention to the news from there over the past few years. It is a compendium of grim statistics—body counts, suicide bombings, drone strikes, kidnappings—without much analysis; the same may be true concerning the Pakistan chapters, of course, but since I know so little about it others would have to answer that question. “Pakistan on the Brink” does have a thrown together against a deadline feel to it. The third book of a trilogy that began with the excellent “Taliban: Militant Islam, Oil and Fundamentalism in Central Asia” and continued with the well received “Descent into Chaos”. In a generous author's note, Rashid thanks his "publisher and editor Wendy Wolf of Viking Penguin for forcing this book out of a very reluctant author who wondered if anyone really would want to read another book of mine." He needn’t have worried, although it is not on the same level as the first two books in the trilogy.
Top reviews from other countries
Amazon CustomerReviewed in India on January 14, 20175.0 out of 5 stars Informative and Insightful
This book is very informative, gives you good insight into what happened in this region of the world in the period of 5-7 years that this book covers. The author has given detailed account of what all the regional/global players were up to. You can't get this much info just by watching news, they are generally myopic. However, this book covers the length and breadth of events in Pak in such detail that you can put the pieces together and try and understand the overall picture.
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Fabian HemkerReviewed in Germany on May 25, 20165.0 out of 5 stars Guter Überblick
Das Buch gibt einen guten und kritischen Überblick über die Interessen und Strategien der wichtigsten Akteure Pakistan, Afghanistan, Indien und der USA. Es ist spannend geschrieben und gut strukturiert.
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ceciliaReviewed in Italy on February 14, 20134.0 out of 5 stars come al solito, esauriente
come gli altri testi di Ahmed Rashid sulla questione Af-Pak, anche questo molto esauriente, d'altronde Rashid è uno dei massimi esperti in materia
RJPReviewed in the United Kingdom on July 22, 20125.0 out of 5 stars Detailed Contemporary Portrait of a Troubled Region
By the authors admission, the chapters of this book are essentially standalone essays. With that said, they complement each other very well, and when read as a whole the book provides a detailed briefing on the current state of play between Pakistan, Afghanistan and the West. I have no doubt that Ahmed Rashid's knowledge of his topic extends to the highest level, and as you'll see when reading the book, it has allowed him a unique level of access to key politicians and policymakers. Yet the book makes for a very accessible read with little need for any specialist knowledge prior to reading. For the potential reader: the historical context of the issues discussed is only briefly touched upon (if at all), but this is perhaps a strength, and no doubt a deliberate decision by the author, in pursuit of a concise portrait of the contemporary situation and likely prospects for the future.
Of particular merit:
The opening chapters are notable for their coverage not only of Pakistan (as their titles would suggest), but of the deep and complex relationship between Pakistan and Afghanistan, and go a long way to helping us understand why the road to peace in Kabul runs largely through Islamabad, as they say.
Chapter four concentrates on the failure to hold free and fair elections and establish legitimate governance in Afghanistan, and the necessity of doing so if any real progress is to be made. Pakistan's sectarian geography and the preponderance of the Taliban in certain areas had meant that electoral turnout among certain groups was virtually non-existent: one of the key factors behind the military surge into Taliban-controlled areas of southern Afghanistan prior to the 2010 parliamentary election.
The fifth chapter illustrates the intense infighting in Washington over policy in and for Afghanistan, and levels a strong critique of ISAF strategy, arguing that the strong focus on Helmand may have been detrimental. Rashid posits that a more sound strategy would have been to fully secure Kabul and then gradually expand outwards.
In the concluding chapter, Rashid offers his analysis of what the future might hold. Commenting on states of Central Asia (Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan), India and China, and also Iran, the author illustrates the wider regional picture, detailing what is at stake for these countries and what their roles might be in moving forward. The Arab Spring, although geographically distant from Pakistan, is argued as a potential threat should a similar sentiment take root among Pakistan's jobless and frustrated youth, while the threat of sectarian revolt and the detrimental impact of 'capture or kill' raids are also covered.
Ahmed Rashid's book excels by not focusing on the particular details of one country or the other, but in analysing them together, on the basis that their futures are intractably linked. Rashid's key contention is that in many ways Pakistan's current position is more perilous than that held by Afghanistan, and that, following Richard Holbrooke's footsteps, Washington and the West must rethink their current strategy toward Pakistan, for the status of Pakistan's fragile democracy is perhaps the key arbiter of Afghanistan's prospects for a stable and democratic future.
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さばとらみーちゃんReviewed in Japan on March 22, 20125.0 out of 5 stars アフガニスタン・パキスタンの近況と展望
本書には、オバマ政権以後のアフガニスタンとパキスタンの状況に関する9つのエッセイが収められています。オバマ政権誕生時には、アフガン問題の解決に向けて大きな期待が寄せられていましたが、現実には、アフガン・タリバン、パキスタン・タリバン、ハッカーニ・ネットワーク、パキスタン軍、パキスタン政府、アメリカ軍とCIA、ホワイトハウスと国務省が、それぞれの思惑である時は協力し、ある時は足を引っ張り合ってきた実態を著者は明らかにしています。また、この混乱に乗じたアル・カイーダ系過激派についても述べられており、その脅威はこの地域だけとは限りません。著者のオバマ、カルザイ、ザルダリ各政権に対する評価は厳しく、最後の章は、2014年に予定されているアメリカ軍とNATO軍の撤退に向けて各政権がすべきことは何かで締め括られていますが、その内容は前著のDESCENT INTO CHAOSとあまり代わり映えせず、結局、この問題の解決が、多少の進展は見られるものの、遅々として進んでいないことがわかります。アフガン問題の重要性を再認識するためにも、一読をお薦めします。

