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Intelligence Analysis: How to Think in Complex Environments (Praeger Security International)

by Wayne Michael Hall (Author), Gary Citrenbaum (Author), Patrick M. Hughes (Foreword)
4.7 4.7 out of 5 stars 26 ratings
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This book offers a vast conceptual and theoretical exploration of the ways intelligence analysis must change in order to succeed against today's most dangerous combatants and most complex irregular theatres of conflict.

Intelligence Analysis: How to Think in Complex Environments fills a void in the existing literature on contemporary warfare by examining the theoretical and conceptual foundations of effective modern intelligence analysis―the type of analysis needed to support military operations in modern, complex operational environments. This volume is an expert guide for rethinking intelligence analysis and understanding the true nature of the operational environment, adversaries, and most importantly, the populace.

Intelligence Analysis proposes substantive improvements in the way the U.S. national security system interprets intelligence, drawing on the groundbreaking work of theorists ranging from Carl von Clauswitz and Sun Tzu to M. Mitchell Waldrop, General David Petraeus, Richards Heuer, Jr., Orson Scott Card, and others. The new ideas presented here will help the nation to amass a formidable, cumulative intelligence power, with distinct advantages over any and all adversaries of the future regardless of the level of war or type of operational environment.

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  1. ISBN-10
    0313382654
  2. ISBN-13
    978-0313382659
  3. Publisher
    Praeger
  4. Publication date
    December 22, 2009
  5. Part of series
    Praeger Security International
  6. Language
    English
  7. Dimensions
    6.14 x 1 x 9.21 inches
  8. Print length
    460 pages
  9. See all details
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4.7 out of 5 stars
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Top reviews from the United States

  • Dustin L.
    5.0 out of 5 stars Good book!
    Reviewed in the United States on December 6, 2024
    Verified Purchase
    Very good!
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    Dustin L.
    5.0 out of 5 stars Good book!
    Reviewed in the United States on December 6, 2024
    Very good!
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  • Mick
    5.0 out of 5 stars Destined to Become a Classic in the Intelligence Analysis Community.
    Reviewed in the United States on November 21, 2010
    Verified Purchase
    Intelligence Analysis: How to Think in Complex Environments is a book destined to become a classic in the intelligence analysis community.

    In 21 chapters Hall and Citrenbaum provide the reader with a detailed description of what intelligence is and how intelligence analysts should think about their craft. I found this book to be both interesting and highly informative, having first read the book cover-to-cover, and now as a reference re-reading chapters to gain more insight into specific analytical techniques.

    As the title indicates, this book teaches the analyst 'how to think' rather than telling the analyst 'what to think'.

    For anyone interested in intelligence analysis, this book is essential reading. Highly Recommended!

    Contents

    Acknowledgements
    Introduction

    Part I: The Continuous War of Wits
    1. The Operational Environment
    2. The Problem
    3. Solutions
    4. Setting the Stage for Advanced Analysis

    Part II: Advanced Analysis - In Detail
    5. Decomposition
    6. Critical Thinking
    7. Link Analysis
    8. Pattern Analysis
    9. Trend Analysis
    10. Anticipatory Analysis
    11. Technical Analysis
    12. Tendency Analysis
    13. Anomaly Analysis
    14. Cultural Analysis
    15. Semiotics Analysis
    16. Aggression Analysis
    17. Recomposition
    18. Synthesis
    19. Technology for Advanced Analysis

    Part III: Systems of Thought
    20. On a System of Thought
    21. Closing Thoughts

    Notes
    Select Bibliography
    Index
    7 people found this helpful
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  • Ryan J. Whittington
    5.0 out of 5 stars "Intelligence Analysis: How to Think in Complex Environments"
    Reviewed in the United States on April 15, 2010
    Verified Purchase
    If the hallmarks of a masterpiece are thought-provoking, informative, and insightful, then BG (R) Mike Hall has presented us with a work of such a level.

    Written by one of the most brilliant minds and Intelligence professional the U.S. Government ever produced, "Intelligence Analysis: How to Think in Complex Environments" tackles the issue of developing the analytical skills required to truly understand the operational environment and it's adversaries as well as waging warfare in the information age.

    More than eight years after 9/11, our intelligence services are still struggling to meet the challenges posed by today's irregular foes and complex operational environment. Hall and his collaborator, Dr. Gary Citrenbaum provide a template for analytic action and cognitive engagement required to meet those challenges.

    By showing us how to think--not --what to think in the information age, the authors provide a template and descriptive formula for modern intelligence analysis and thinking. Hall has put the full scope of the modern age analysis problem in a single book that flows from beginning to end as a synergistic set of pioneering procedures, methods and concepts.

    This book is the blueprint for advance analysis, thinking and dealing with today's wicked problems. A must read for intelligence and National Security professionals.
    23 people found this helpful
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  • Amazon_Customer
    5.0 out of 5 stars bought for my husband for his birthday because he requested ...
    Reviewed in the United States on November 22, 2017
    Verified Purchase
    bought for my husband for his birthday because he requested it and it is helpful for the work he does at his job in the military.
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  • Kelly Long Crow
    5.0 out of 5 stars Educational
    Reviewed in the United States on January 15, 2013
    Verified Purchase
    Bought for class. Just began reading the first chapters. Very informative and an easy read. Mr. Hall is quite knowledgeable abou the trade.
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  • Marilyn
    4.0 out of 5 stars Concepts of Intelligence Analysis
    Reviewed in the United States on September 6, 2010
    General Hall and Mr. Citrenbaum have written a book that is thoughtful, provoking and timely.
    It focuses on the 'what' of analysis, rather than the 'how to'. It introduces some terms that are not familiar to many analysts but perhaps should be. "Decomposition", for example, by another name might be "analysis"; that is, the breaking down of an issue into its parts to better understand it. "Synthesis", another term he uses, is one that has been used, but not often, in analysis to mean what the final putting the facts together to form an inference.
    Chapter Three is notable for its listing of 14 'cognitive functions' used in analysis. It is there that the book took on life for me. Also in that chapter, Hall and Citrenbaum write of different types of "observables"; that is, what to look for in the process of doing analysis.
    The chapters that follow (chapters 5 through 18)take the 14 cognitive functions individually, but also show how they relate to the others. In each of them, I found gems of insight.
    At 413 pages, the book may seem overlong to some; circularly written to others. But it is an important book that should be read, discussed, and re-read by thoughtful analysts in all areas of the field of intelligence.
    11 people found this helpful
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  • RJ
    4.0 out of 5 stars Could have used for real world examples
    Reviewed in the United States on March 3, 2012
    This book was a tough read, but worth every minute. Extremely elucidating and empowering. My only complaint is that all too often premises set forth were not supported by real world, easy to comprehend examples of the premise. With that, this would have been a 5 star book.
    4 people found this helpful
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