List Price: $65.00

Save: $5.01 (8%)

$3.99 delivery: March 12 - 19

Only 1 left in stock - order soon.
As an alternative, the Kindle eBook is available now and can be read on any device with the free Kindle app.

Secure transaction

Ships from	othosbooks
Sold by	othosbooks

Details

Ships from

othosbooks

Sold by

othosbooks

+ $4.69 shipping

$4.69 delivery: March 16 - 23

Fastest delivery: March 12 - 18

Select delivery location

Used: Good | Details

Sold by Bookoff

Add to List

Added to

Unable to add item to List. Please try again.

Share <Embed>

Have one to sell?

Sell on Amazon

Flip to back Flip to front

Listen Playing... Paused You're listening to a sample of the Audible audio edition.
Learn more

See all 2 images

Follow the Authors

John Maynard Keynes

MARCO PEDULLA

A Treatise on Probability (Dover Books on Mathematics) Hardcover – April 28, 2004

by John Maynard Keynes (Author), Mathematics (Author)

32 ratings

Part of: Dover Books on Mathematics (210 Books)

See all formats and editions Hide other formats and editions

Price

New from

Used from

Kindle

"Please retry"

—

Hardcover

"Please retry"

$28.99

$28.97

Hardcover, April 28, 2004

$59.99

$24.29

Paperback

"Please retry"

$12.99

—

Mass Market Paperback

"Please retry"

$919.00

—

$919.00

With this treatise, an insightful exploration of the probabilistic connection between philosophy and the history of science, John Maynard Keynes (1883–1946) breathed new life into studies of both disciplines. Originally published in 1921, the famous economist's most important mathematical work represented a significant contribution to the theory regarding the logical probability of propositions. Keynes effectively dismantled the classical theory of probability, launching what has since been termed the "logical-relationist" theory. In so doing, he explored the logical relationships between classifying a proposition as "highly probable" and as a "justifiable induction."
A Treatise on Probability argues that probability is a matter of logic, which renders it objective: a statement involving probability relations possesses a truth value independent of opinion. Keynes demonstrates that if a hypothesis has even the smallest finite probability, it can be transformed into certainty by a sufficient number of observations. This is his attempt to overcome Humean skepticism by asserting that theoretically grounded hypotheses need only exhibit finite probability to form the basis of science and rational action. Another key idea discussed in A Treatise on Probability is that probability relations constitute only a partially ordered set in the sense that two probabilities cannot necessarily always be compared. Keynes further maintains that probability is a basic concept that cannot be reduced to other concepts.

Print length

480 pages
Language

English
Publisher

Dover Publications
Publication date

April 28, 2004
Dimensions

6.25 x 1.25 x 9 inches
ISBN-10

0486495809
ISBN-13

978-0486495804
See all details

Frequently bought together

Total price: $69.74

These items are shipped from and sold by different sellers. Show details

Buy the selected items together

This item:A Treatise on Probability (Dover Books on Mathematics) by John Maynard Keynes Hardcover $59.99
Only 1 left in stock - order soon.
Ships from and sold by othosbooks.
Essays in Persuasion by John Maynard Keynes Paperback $9.75
Only 8 left in stock (more on the way).
Ships from and sold by Amazon.com.
FREE Shipping on orders over $25.00. Details

Customers who viewed this item also viewed

Page 1 of 1 Start overPage 1 of 1

John Maynard Keynes
102
Paperback
$7.99
John Maynard Keynes CB Fba
799
Paperback
$7.99
Zachary D. Carter
513
Hardcover
$35.00
John Maynard Keynes
79
Paperback
$9.75
John Maynard Keynes
12
Paperback
$19.99
John Maynard Keynes
71
Paperback
$19.00

Products related to this item

Sponsored
Hide feedback

Page 1 of 1Start overPage 1 of 1

Special offers and product promotions

Amazon Business : For business-only pricing, quantity discounts and FREE Shipping. Register a free business account

Product details

Publisher : Dover Publications (April 28, 2004)
Language : English
Hardcover : 480 pages
ISBN-10 : 0486495809
ISBN-13 : 978-0486495804
Item Weight : 1.47 pounds
Dimensions : 6.25 x 1.25 x 9 inches

Best Sellers Rank: #5,477,028 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
- #1,374 in Science Bibliographies & Indexes
- #5,267 in Philosophy of Logic & Language
- #13,883 in Probability & Statistics (Books)

Customer Reviews:
32 ratings

Brief content visible, double tap to read full content.

Full content visible, double tap to read brief content.

Help others learn more about this product by uploading a video!

Upload video

Products related to this item

Sponsored
Hide feedback

Page 1 of 1Start overPage 1 of 1

Customer reviews

5 star		58%
4 star		5%
3 star		10%
2 star		9%
1 star		17%

How are ratings calculated?

Top reviews from the United States

There was a problem filtering reviews right now. Please try again later.

A. K.

Very interesting book...if you are into math.

Reviewed in the United States on April 15, 2016

Verified Purchase

If you are into statistics and probability, you should study this text. JMK explores both the logic and mathematical structure of probability analysis.

If you are not into statistics, this book will bore you to death. However, the bigger question would be why are you reading reviews of a statistical text?

4 people found this helpful

Helpful

Kenneth Zimmerman

Historical book

Reviewed in the United States on March 5, 2013

Verified Purchase

Truly an historical, seminal book. It changed the direction and tone for all human history, including of course economics and history.

3 people found this helpful

Helpful

Eileen P

Book Not Readable

Reviewed in the United States on March 8, 2011

Verified Purchase

Save your $0.99! This is an unreadable edition of a great book. After opening my wirelessly delivered copy, I found the following:

TIIK Hubjtwl mutter of this book was first broached i the brain of Lfibuix, who, in thn dwHortation, written in his twenty-third yiwr, o the woilt .....

And so it continues, page after page. This from a product "optimized for my Kindle"? It reads like a Robert Benchley parody of Old English.

I obviously will not sue Amazon to recover my $0.99, but I will advise others to not buy this edition of Keynes excellent book.

11 people found this helpful

Helpful

Meera

Five Stars

Reviewed in the United States on September 30, 2014

Verified Purchase

I brought this book as gift for my son. It was neatly packed.

Helpful

Mr. Trevor Morgan

Three Stars

Reviewed in the United States on June 8, 2017

Verified Purchase

Heavy but worthwhile read

Helpful

Karen S.

Great book, pity about the kindle version

Reviewed in the United States on June 18, 2013

Verified Purchase

I purchased the kindle version of this book to tide me over whilst waiting for the hard copy to arrive in the mail. This important and informative book is, in this incarnation, riddled with typographical errors. It is not unreadable but it irritates as much as it informs (and the formulae ought not to be quoted).

3 people found this helpful

Helpful

K. Campbell

Interesting and scary

Reviewed in the United States on January 22, 2010

Verified Purchase

So you think you know how and why the markets work the way they do.... Try reading this!

2 people found this helpful

Helpful

J. Hall

Historically important ... but.

Reviewed in the United States on November 2, 2008

Verified Purchase

The author introduces key concepts for the first time. He also introduces some ideas that I had not seen before. The book is historically important. However, the author's writing style is very much a product of his time - obviously brevity was not considered a virtue. The book is really, painfully long. If you are a historian, great. If you are looking for key concepts in statistical theory, there are other books that will get to the point much quicker.

13 people found this helpful

Helpful

Top reviews from other countries

Mr. TOUMPAS KONSTANTINOS

Five Stars

Reviewed in the United Kingdom on March 3, 2016

Verified Purchase

All time classic by the ONE ECONOMIST who rules them ALL. Respect.

Amazon Customer

Though there is a warning on typos it so happens ...

Reviewed in the United Kingdom on June 16, 2017

Verified Purchase

Though there is a warning on typos it so happens that all mathematical formulae are misprinted and do not make any sense. Since this is a mathematical book it makes no sense to sell it in this form.

Dr. David J. Marsay

There is more to uncertainty than just numbers

Reviewed in the United Kingdom on July 20, 2009

Verified Purchase

Keynes points out some of the limitations of a numeric theory of probability, building on some of the ideas of his tutor, A.N. Whitehead, later published in Process and Reality (Gifford lectures) . (E.g., when long-term uncertainty has to be handled differently from short-run probability.) The work underpinned his more popular The Economic Consequences of the Peace (New Edition) , which showed that - contrary to the numeric theory - a sustained depression was likely. Keynes was encouraged by Lloyd George to write these, to capture some of the lessons identified during the Great War and the planning for the subsequent peace.

This became of more interest following the financial problems of 2007/8, which have been linked to an over-reliance on numeric measures.

One person found this helpful

Amazon カスタマー

Bad and incorrect conversions of mathematical symbols

Reviewed in Japan on September 3, 2018

Verified Purchase

All most all mathematical symbols are entirely disfigured and are illegible. Hence, the text cannot be read. No way to recommend the book in this condition to others. No body will buy a car without four wheels.

TAKAGI Yasunobu

Cannot be read!

Reviewed in Japan on February 21, 2013

Verified Purchase

This book contains failed scanned data only. You cannot read even a word.

One person found this helpful

See all reviews

Customers who bought this item also bought

Page 1 of 1 Start overPage 1 of 1

John Maynard Keynes
79
Paperback
$9.75
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
190
Hardcover
$44.95
Daniel Kahneman
17,066
Paperback
$11.54
Ian Hacking
20
Paperback
$26.68
Alan Sokal
143
Paperback
$18.61
Karl R. Popper
45
Paperback
$15.95

Follow the Authors

Similar authors to follow

Similar authors to follow

A Treatise on Probability (Dover Books on Mathematics) Hardcover – April 28, 2004

Frequently bought together

Customers who viewed this item also viewed

Products related to this item

Sponsored
Hide feedback

Special offers and product promotions

Product details

Videos

Products related to this item

Sponsored
Hide feedback

Customer reviews

Top reviews from the United States

There was a problem filtering reviews right now. Please try again later.

Top reviews from other countries

Customers who bought this item also bought

Buy new: $59.99 $3.99 delivery: March 12 - 19 Ships from: othosbooks Sold by: othosbooks

Buy used: $24.29

Sorry, there was a problem.

Sorry, there was a problem.

Follow the Authors

Similar authors to follow

Similar authors to follow

A Treatise on Probability (Dover Books on Mathematics) Hardcover – April 28, 2004

Frequently bought together

Customers who viewed this item also viewed

Special offers and product promotions

Product details

Videos

Customer reviews

Top reviews from the United States

There was a problem filtering reviews right now. Please try again later.

Top reviews from other countries

Customers who bought this item also bought

Buy new:

$59.99

$3.99 delivery: March 12 - 19

Ships from: othosbooks

Sold by: othosbooks

Buy used:

$24.29