This book gives a good overview of peak oil. It's main thrust is the assumption that economics will not carry us through this turmoil, and only an early adoption of a "protocol" will save human from much crisis.
The logic behind this assumption is still lost on me, and I continue to seek a clearer picture of the future.
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The Oil Depletion Protocol: A Plan to Avert Oil Wars, Terrorism and Economic Collapse Paperback – September 1, 2006
by
Richard Heinberg
(Author),
Colin Campbell
(Foreword)
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Since oil is the primary fuel of global industrial civilization, its imminent depletion is a problem that will have a profound impact on every aspect of modern life. With-out international agreement on how to manage the decline of this vital resource, the world faces unprecedented risk of conflict and collapse.
The Oil Depletion Protocol describes a unique accord whereby nations would voluntarily reduce their oil production and oil imports according to a consistent, sen-sible formula. This would enable energy transition to be planned and supported over the long term, providing a context of stable energy prices and peaceful cooperation. The protocol will be presented at international gatherings, initiating the process of country-by-country negotiation and adoption and mobilizing public support. To this end, this book:
• Provides an overview of the data concerning Peak Oil and its timing
• Briefly explains the protocol and its implications for the reader and for
decision-makers in government and industry around the world
• Deals with frequently asked questions and objections
• Looks forward to how the protocol can be adopted and how municipalities and ordinary citizens can facilitate the process
Timely and critically important, The Oil Depletion Protocol is a must-read for policymakers and for all who seek to avert a Peak Oil collapse.
- Print length208 pages
- LanguageEnglish
- PublisherNew Society Publishers
- Publication dateSeptember 1, 2006
- Dimensions6 x 0.5 x 9 inches
- ISBN-100865715637
- ISBN-13978-0865715639
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- Reviewed in the United States on May 18, 2007
- Reviewed in the United States on April 25, 2007Of the many books now available that review peak oil, Richard Heinberg's "The Oil Depletion Protocol" is unique in that it outlines a practical solution to survival the upcoming energy crunch.
After reading a few books about the upcoming energy collapse, read this book to energize yourself with hopeful solutions. We should all read this book, think deeply, and get to work soon.
- Reviewed in the United States on February 17, 2008This book is a continuation of the theme of Heinberg's earlier books on peak oil - "The Party's Over", and "Powerdown". A big difference however, is the air of optimism the book has compared to the doomsday tone of the previous two. Not that we are not facing serious times and soon (he documents very well how petroleum dominates all of modern society), this book presents a plan to deal with it beyond the unrealistic rescue scenarios such as oil sands, wind-for-all, and the notion that Sun can supply 5,000 times the energy we need, etc. The idea that nations will control and also decrease their use of oil through international agreements seems at first blush preposterous. However, in chapter 3 he shows how a depletion protocol can mesh with a Kyoto -type protocol for decreasing greenhouse gas emissions. The result is as two-fer; adjusting to decreasing supplies of petroleum while at the same time decreasing emissions through an international treaty. The fact that the U.S. has not agreed to Kyoto does not mean it is dead in the water; well over 100 nations are on board. Coordination of a depletion treaty with an emissions treaty makes solid sense and is I hope, inevitable.
- Reviewed in the United States on August 18, 2015I'm so sad to see that only 8 people have reviewed what has to be one of the most important books ever written about Colin Campbell’s Rimini (Uppsala) Protocol of 2003.
Although I am very cynical about the possibility of nations getting together to do anything not in their self-interest, this is the only possible way to avoid a potentially extinction level nuclear war over oil and cope with declining supplies of oil that industrial civilization is based on.
Even a very small nuclear war could wipe out a billion of us (or more) and millions of other species:
Charles Q. Choi in livescience.com's 'Small' Nuclear War Could Trigger Catastrophic Cooling on March 26, 2014: To see what effects such a regional nuclear conflict might have on climate, scientists modeled a war between India and Pakistan involving 100 Hiroshima-level bombs, each packing the equivalent of 15,000 tons of TNT — just a small fraction of the world’s current nuclear arsenal. They simulated interactions within and between the atmosphere, ocean, land and sea ice components of the Earth’s climate system. Scientists found the effects of such a war could be catastrophic. “Most people would be surprised to know that even a very small regional nuclear war on the other side of the planet could disrupt global climate for at least a decade and wipe out the ozone layer for a decade,” study lead author Michael Mills, an atmospheric scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Colorado. The original scientific article is: Robok, A. 19 April 2007. Climatic consequences of regional nuclear conflicts. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics.
January 2010 Scientific American “LOCAL, NUCLEAR WAR. Worry has focused on the U.S. versus Russia, but a regional nuclear war between India and Pakistan could blot out the sun, starving much of the human race“:
Alan Robock and Woen Brian Toon: “Some people think that the nuclear winter theory developed in the 1980s was discredited. And they may therefore raise their eyebrows at our new assertion that a regional nuclear war, like one between India and Pakistan, could also devastate agriculture worldwide. But the original theory was thoroughly validated. The science behind it was supported by investigations from the National Academy of Sciences, by studies sponsored within the U.S. military, and by the International Council of Scientific Unions, which included representatives from 74 national academies of science and other scientific bodies.”
Nuclear bombs dropped on cities and industrial areas in a fight between India and Pakistan would start firestorms that would put massive amounts of smoke into the upper atmosphere.
The particles would remain there for years, blocking the sun, making the earth’s surface cold, dark and dry. Agricultural collapse and mass starvation could follow. Hence, global cooling could result from a regional war, not just a conflict between the U.S. and Russia.
Cooling scenarios are based on computer models. But observations of volcanic eruptions, forest fire smoke and other phenomena provide confidence that the models are correct.
HUMAN TOLL. An all-out nuclear war between India and Pakistan could slaughter people locally and lead to more deaths across the planet.
20 million people in the region could die from direct bomb blasts and subsequent fire and radiation.
1 billion people worldwide with marginal food supplies today could die of starvation because of ensuing agricultural collapse.
I've been reading the congressional record senate and house hearings, and at a national level, almost nothing is being done to prepare for the coming energy crisis, except stupid piddly things like trying to get cars to run on batteries or hydrogen and almost nothing to get more railroads, barges, ships and their infrastructure built up, since these are many orders of magnitude more energy efficient than trucks. Perhaps closed door sessions and homeland security are doing something. Who knows. I am sure the military is very very aware of peak oil because they've said so in congressional hearings and published material on the internet about it -- this is alarming because I am sure they've already made certain they have access to whatever oil remains off the top, along with agriculture, to fight oil wars with, even though we know that doesn't work from the ongoing mess in the Middle East we created.


