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Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update Paperback – Illustrated, June 1, 2004

4.6 4.6 out of 5 stars 536 ratings
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"A pioneering work of science."―Business Insider

"[This book] helped launch modern environmental computer modeling and began our current globally focused environmental debate . . . . a scientifically rigorous and credible warning."―The Nation 

In 1972, three scientists from MIT created a computer model that analyzed global resource consumption and production. Their results shocked the world and created stirring conversation about global 'overshoot,' or resource use beyond the carrying capacity of the planet. Now, preeminent environmental scientists Donnella Meadows, Jorgen Randers, and Dennis Meadows have teamed up again to update and expand their original findings in The Limits to Growth: The 30 Year Global Update.

Meadows, Randers, and Meadows are international environmental leaders recognized for their groundbreaking research into early signs of wear on the planet. Citing climate change as the most tangible example of our current overshoot, the scientists now provide us with an updated scenario and a plan to reduce our needs to meet the carrying capacity of the planet.

Over the past three decades, population growth and global warming have forged on with a striking semblance to the scenarios laid out by the World3 computer model in the original Limits to Growth. While Meadows, Randers, and Meadows do not make a practice of predicting future environmental degradation, they offer an analysis of present and future trends in resource use, and assess a variety of possible outcomes.

In many ways, the message contained in Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update is a warning. Overshoot cannot be sustained without collapse. But, as the authors are careful to point out, there is reason to believe that humanity can still reverse some of its damage to Earth if it takes appropriate measures to reduce inefficiency and waste.

Written in refreshingly accessible prose, Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update is a long anticipated revival of some of the original voices in the growing chorus of sustainability. Limits to Growth: The 30 Year Update is a work of stunning intelligence that will expose for humanity the hazy but critical line between human growth and human development.

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  1. Print length
    338 pages
  2. Language
    English
  3. Publisher
    Chelsea Green Publishing
  4. Publication date
    June 1, 2004
  5. Dimensions
    6 x 1 x 9 inches
  6. ISBN-10
    193149858X
  7. ISBN-13
    978-1931498586
  8. See all details
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  3. Beyond the Limits: Confronting Global Collapse, Envisioning a Sustainable Future
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Customer reviews

4.6 out of 5 stars
536 global ratings

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Customers say

Customers find the book easy to read and informative. They appreciate the deeper understanding it provides and the explanations about the model and each of the various scenarios. The book stimulates thought and makes them more cognizant. Readers also mention that the book explains the limits to growth and the process of overshoot and collapse.

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ReadabilityUnderstandingInterestGrowth limit
32 customers mention "Readability"29 positive3 negative

Customers find the book readable and interesting. They appreciate the good quality of the book and its usefulness for education. The authors explain the limits to growth well and build the model in the readers' minds.

"...deeper understanding on how every thing is linked together, and a clear picture of how when one variable of the system changes, it will effect all..." Read more

"No problems." Read more

"...It is easy to read and understand and all of the facts set forth in the book are supported." Read more

"...Excellent book to read for your own education, and in some ways, it serves as an antidote to the popular culture's love affair with growth and..." Read more

30 customers mention "Understanding"27 positive3 negative

Customers find the book provides useful information and insights into the world's current condition. They appreciate its thorough explanations without getting bogged down in details. The theories are logical, though some readers find the computer models silly. Overall, it helps readers understand the limits to growth and narrow thinking.

"...The book gives a model and a deeper understanding on how every thing is linked together, and a clear picture of how when one variable of the system..." Read more

"The theories are sound logic to me, but their computer models sound silly...." Read more

"The LTG 30-year update is a more rigorous analysis of all the variables affecting the global ecosystem than the original 1972 study...." Read more

"...30-year update to "Limits to Growth" is possibly the most thought-provoking environmental book I've ever read...." Read more

6 customers mention "Interest"6 positive0 negative

Customers find the book interesting and stimulating. They say it's a good read, showing data collected over time.

"An interesting read that offers a great example of a complex model...." Read more

"...Read this book and you will be a wiser, more cognizant, more responsible individual...." Read more

"...Still, a good, interesting read. Four stars. Rick says the PhD's at MIT are much smarter than he is." Read more

"...It had a lot of interesting points...." Read more

5 customers mention "Growth limit"5 positive0 negative

Customers find the book's explanation of growth limits convincing. They also appreciate the process of growth, overshoot, and collapse.

"...The authors make an excellent point that infinite growth (people, food, water, economy, etc.) is simply not possible...." Read more

"...In perspective, the Limits to Growth was quite accurate; the computer models used at that time were state-of-the-art...." Read more

"...The authors explain very well why there are limits to growth. It points out a high potential for a gloomy future...." Read more

"...Limits to growth exists, its real and we will have to face with it...." Read more

Top reviews from the United States

  • Tove Margrethe Dyblie
    5.0 out of 5 stars A must read for any manager
    Reviewed in the United States on October 23, 2010
    Verified Purchase
    I think this book very clearly and understandably describes the bigger problems humanity is facing. I think it is honestly the best book I have read related to Sustainable Development. It is able to cut through the noice around all the discussions of climate change, no climate change, peak oil or no peak oil, overpopulation e.t.c. The book gives a model and a deeper understanding on how every thing is linked together, and a clear picture of how when one variable of the system changes, it will effect all the other variables. I truly cherish this introduction to system dynamics as well.

    The authors do not claim to have have all the answers, or the perfect model of the world, but he book stills gives a very good picture of linkage, cause and effect in a complex system. Nothing can be said with certainty about future developments, it all rests on the choices we make. This is true for each individual, but also true for the choices we collectively make as a society. What is also true is that whatever we choose, it we will have an effect, and outcome, and we all make these decisions within a systems with certain rules, equations and feedback loops. The rules, equations and feedback-loops for how we operate as a society can be changed by choice, but the responses of the natural world, for what we depend for all we have, can not so easily be changed.

    I hope to see this book as obligatory reading for any higher education or management training in the future; it really would help the public discourse stay on topic of the really critically discussions, and not so easily get sidetracked and polarized by claims from different special interest groups within the realm of Sustainable Development.
    7 people found this helpful
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  • T.C.
    5.0 out of 5 stars As expected
    Reviewed in the United States on November 21, 2024
    Verified Purchase
    No problems.
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  • Victorious
    4.0 out of 5 stars Great look at our environmental problems.
    Reviewed in the United States on August 25, 2014
    Verified Purchase
    The theories are sound logic to me, but their computer models sound silly. Of course if we use more resources than we make, eventually the planet will run out. Models are only as good as the underlying factors and the margin for error is nothing more than a best guess. Nevertheless, if you look past the fancy model, the book is a great warning about what we have done to our planet. Kind of a scary ending where it looks like our only way to survive is to stop population growth (Can't china teach India how to use birth control)?
    3 people found this helpful
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  • Jon Willis
    5.0 out of 5 stars An invaluable study
    Reviewed in the United States on March 31, 2014
    Verified Purchase
    The LTG 30-year update is a more rigorous analysis of all the variables affecting the global ecosystem than the original 1972 study. A principal difference, of course, is that advances in computing power have far exceeded probably even the most optimistic expectations in the 1970s, and we can see with greater precision exactly that the effects of our activities are on our tiny planet. Another difference is that many of the trends studied in the initial work can now be confirmed 30 years later.

    The authors' conclusion is that we have not done much to ameliorate the damage we are doing to Earth, and implicitly to ourselves, by what we have done in the intervening 30 years. We still produce too many offspring, consume too many finite resources, despoil to much of nature's waste-absorbing capacity, and seem to be stuck in a system that inexorably demands still more of the same.

    But all is not lost. Read this in conjunction with Jordan Randers follow-on study entitled "2052: A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years". He uses the same "systems approach" used in this 30-year update. There are solutions, but they will require an informed body politic, thoughtful leadership, and an honest assessment of public policy from all of us.
    20 people found this helpful
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  • Flavio Cipparrone
    5.0 out of 5 stars Pay attention. A very dangerous problem.
    Reviewed in the United States on October 21, 2008
    Verified Purchase
    Main points are these:
    - People normally use only cause-effect associations (input - output models).

    - They need to understand that the effect can "send a message" to the input, and this can only be viewed using dynamic models.

    - They do not think that all exponential process are terminated by
    the activation of strong negative limiting feedback forces.

    - The first edition was wrong and this edition will be wrong concerning the timing of the events because:
    1) no one knows who will play the game (China phenomenon for example would be thought as an "impossible" event viewed from 1972 perspective)
    Notice however that venerated Yellow River has received a very large pollution charge in these "growth" years.

    2) It is very difficult (impossible) to set accurate parameters for the model.

    But the MAIN point is:
    The conclusions (although the timing is not precise) are true, or have a high probability of occur, so that, as the credit growth busted, the pollution growth and the end of natural resources can spoil the world.

    In this case, we will not be able to borrow pure water, pure air, and food etc... from GOD or from a Natural Resources Central Bank.

    ------------------------------------------

    PS: So that the only way to not spoil the world is to control several key
    parameters (population growth, natural resources usage, pollution etc...) and some are interdependent.
    15 people found this helpful
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  • Jason G. Brent
    5.0 out of 5 stars In the very near future billions will die due.
    Reviewed in the United States on March 29, 2022
    Verified Purchase
    The book tells the truth. Humanity will suffer the collapse of civilization and the horrible deaths of billions because of their collective inability to understand that the earth and the resources the earth can provide to humanity are finite and limited It is absolutely essential for every intelligent person on the planet to not only read the book but to fully understand. It is easy to read and understand and all of the facts set forth in the book are supported.
    10 people found this helpful
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Top reviews from other countries

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  • Mark Milan
    5.0 out of 5 stars A must-read, though it's depressing.
    Reviewed in Canada on December 10, 2024
    Verified Purchase
    We are destroying this planet.

    That was the conclusion the original authors came to back in 1972 (!), and the world has gone on with a "business as usual" approach. The numbers from the 1972 report are tracking today, and depressingly, our world is headed down some dark paths with regards to resources, pollution, population, and food.
    Report
  • MARCO ANTONIO BALEEIRO ALVES
    5.0 out of 5 stars Excelente!
    Reviewed in Brazil on March 20, 2023
    Verified Purchase
    Excelente livro, mas só tem que tomar cuidado com a capa. É linda, mas estraga fácil. O plástico que recobre o desenho é sensível demais.
    Report
  • An Earth scientist
    5.0 out of 5 stars an important reading for nearly everyone
    Reviewed in the Netherlands on May 24, 2024
    Verified Purchase
    This is the type of book I wish I had heard of 15 years ago. If you are vaguely interested in planet Earth and the survival of our species in a world of limited resources, do not hesitate... buy the book. It will not cover absolutely everything you need to know, but it is a great start to understand systems science and its applications. I think it will inspire you. And it's an easy read too!
    Report
  • Martin
    5.0 out of 5 stars essential reading for anyone concerned about the future of humanity.
    Reviewed in the United Kingdom on February 3, 2024
    Verified Purchase
    Very clear and well researched. The forward relates it to the world of 2020+. The limits to growth have been overshot.
    Report
  • GB
    5.0 out of 5 stars Dangerous ride to the limits
    Reviewed in Italy on February 11, 2019
    Verified Purchase
    I read “Limit to Growth” in 1972 and was impressed. A lot of people denied it. I think it was the first honest attempt to sensibilize Human Beings about risks in a blind race to destroy natural reserves. There is a lot to do and perhaps we are just in time to do it. This 30YRS upgrade book is more detailed and more up to date and, of course, more impressive. Definitely to read.
    Report