One more installment in the illustrative history of those who might appeciate the Kindle:
Mon Nov 26 16:06:49 PST 2007
Re: Opinion: Why Amazon's Kindle is revolutionary
I'm glad you like it, but I'm betting against it. It is too expensive to take everywhere. You can't put it in your pocket or clip it to your belt or conveniently attached it to yourself like an iPod.
One factor that is often overlooked in the Newton's failure compared to the Palm Pilot's success is the small difference in size. A Palm Pilot fit nicely into a shirt or jacket pocket whereas the Newton was slightly too bulky. The Kindle is too big compared to the optimal portable device, the iPhone. From what I've seen (I haven't seen a Kindle in person), the device is probably not going to go where real books go (or even where iPods go).
Yes, there ARE voracious readers who consume book after book, but most people read a few books a year or less (I heard a statistic that some large number of Americans read two books after high school -- not per year, but for the rest of their lives!!!) There are many more voracious consumers of music and that is why the iPod/iTunes system has been so successful.
Sorry, I don't see it being much more than a niche product with a small cult following. (By comparison, we Mac users have become a mainstream religion having graduated from cult
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