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America's Strategic Blunders: Intelligence Analysis and National Security Policy, 1936–1991 Paperback – June 15, 2003
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This survey of more than fifty years of national security policy juxtaposes declassified U. S. national intelligence estimates with recently released Soviet documents disclosing the views of Soviet leaders and their Communist allies on the same events. Matthias shows that U. S. intelligence estimates were usually correct but that our political and military leaders generally ignored them―with sometimes disastrous results. The book begins with a look back at the role of U. S. intelligence during World War II, from Pearl Harbor through the plot against Hitler and the D-day invasion to the "unconditional surrender" of Japan, and reveals how better use of the intelligence available could have saved many lives and shortened the war. The following chapters dealing with the Cold War disclose what information and advice U. S. intelligence analysts passed on to policy makers, and also what sometimes bitter policy debates occurred within the Communist camp, concerning Vietnam, the Bay of Pigs, the Cuban missile crisis, the turmoil in Eastern Europe, the Six-Day and Yom Kippur wars in the Middle East, and the Soviet intervention in Afghanistan. In many ways, this is a story of missed opportunities the U. S. government had to conduct a more responsible foreign policy that could have avoided large losses of life and massive expenditures on arms buildups.
While not exonerating the CIA for its own mistakes, Matthias casts new light on the contributions that objective intelligence analysis did make during the Cold War and speculates on what might have happened if that analysis and advice had been heeded.
- Print length376 pages
- LanguageEnglish
- PublisherPenn State University Press
- Publication dateJune 15, 2003
- Dimensions6 x 0.84 x 9 inches
- ISBN-10027102772X
- ISBN-13978-0271027722
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- Reviewed in the United States on September 5, 2011Strategic intelligence in essence is knowledge derived from rigorous research and analysis processes that informs high level decision making and long term planning. In the U.S. the production of strategic intelligence until recently was the province of the Directorate of Intelligence (DI) of CIA. This book is a chronicle of the accomplishments and failures of CIA's strategic intelligence programs from the end of WWII until Presidency of Ronald Reagan (1980-1988).
Shortly after the end of WWII (1946), CIA's immediate predecessor, the Central Intelligence Group was formed to include a strategic intelligence production center the Office of Research and Evaluation (ORE). With the creation of CIA in 1947, the ORE was folded into the Office of National Estimates (ONE). ONE was composed of CIA subject matter experts supplemented by academic and other outside experts. Like the ORE it was charged with producing in depth studies (estimates) that were designed to inform presidential decision making, policy formulation, and support National Security Council (NSC) deliberations. This arrangement one away with in 1973 by President Nixon who replaced ONE with a more politically pliable National Intelligence Council (NIC) and a system of National Intelligence Officers (NIO). Each NIO had specific geographic (e.g. Soviet Union) or subject matter (e.g. nuclear proliferation) responsibilities, but no permanent staff to assist them. The principal product of the NIC was and continues to be the National Intelligence Estimate. Most recently the NIC was moved from CIA to the Office of Director of National Intelligence (ODNI).
This book provides a very good history of how the U.S. went about building a strategic intelligence capability in the wake of WWII that was largely driven by what came to be known as the Cold War. Perhaps the most interesting unintended consequence of this book, is the glaring fact that even when CIA through ONE actually was producing useful strategic intelligence it was largely ignored by Presidents and their National Security advisors in favor of their personal perceptions and agendas.
The author of this book, Willard Matthias, is uniquely qualified to write this book having served as a strategic analyst from 1946 to 1973 when he and a number of other experienced analyst and intelligence officers left CIA in protest over the Nixon administrations efforts to politically influence the process of intelligence production
- Reviewed in the United States on July 14, 2015As a historian, I really enjoyed reading this book as it brought to light many of our screw ups and gave me insight into why things are the way they are in our foreign policy. Good read!
- Reviewed in the United States on June 24, 2021The author, an OSS/CIA analyst during World War II and most of the Cold War, argues that the CIA's analyses of the global political/security situation were generally correct. Further, the author argues that the CIA, the Navy, and the State Department analyses presented a less threatening world than that presented by politicians, the Army, the Air Force, and neoconservative intellectuals. Had the U.S. followed the CIA's advice, the author believes that World War II would have been shorter, Korea and Vietnam avoided, and the nuclear arms race more restrained.
The book is informative and the author's argument is convincing. Unfortunately, the writing is dry and the author does not present much of a narrative.
- Reviewed in the United States on June 9, 2006THIS IS PROBABLY THE BEST BOOK ON THE WAY INTELLIGECE IS IGNORED IN MAKING KEY POLICIES. MATTHIAS WAS HIGH IN THE CIA AND PRIVY TO MUCH INFORMATION. I KNOW OF NO BETTER ACCOUNT THAN THIS, AND I HAVE READ MANY.

