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Incerto: Fooled by Randomness The Black Swan The Bed of Procrustes Antifragile Paperback – November 15, 2016

by Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Author)

18 customer reviews

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series is an investigation of luck, uncertainty, probability, opacity, human error, risk, disorder, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand, in nonoverlapping and standalone books. All four volumes—Antifragile, The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness, and the expanded edition of The Bed of Procrustes, updated with more than 50 percent new material—are now together in one boxed set.

ANTIFRAGILE

“Startling . . . richly crammed with insights, stories, fine phrases and intriguing asides.”—The Wall Street Journal

Just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension, many things in life benefit from disorder, volatility, and turmoil. What Taleb has identified and calls “antifragile” is that category of things that not only gain from chaos but need it in order to survive and flourish. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better and better. What is crucial is that the antifragile loves errors, as it incurs small harm and large benefits from them. Spanning politics, urban planning, war, personal finance, economic systems, and medicine in an interdisciplinary and erudite style, Antifragile is a blueprint for living in a Black Swan world.

THE BLACK SWAN

“[A book] that altered modern thinking.”—The Times (London)

A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows that black swan events underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them.

FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS

“[Fooled by Randomness] is to conventional Wall Street wisdom approximately what Martin Luther’s ninety-five theses were to the Catholic Church.”—Malcolm Gladwell, The New Yorker

Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? Fooled by Randomness is about luck: more precisely, about how we perceive luck in our personal and professional experiences. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill—the markets—Fooled by Randomness is an irreverent, eye-opening, and endlessly entertaining exploration of one of the least understood forces in our lives.

THE BED OF PROCRUSTES

“Taleb’s crystalline nuggets of thought stand alone like esoteric poems.”—Financial Times

This collection of aphorisms and meditations expresses Taleb’s major ideas in ways you least expect. The Bed of Procrustes takes its title from Greek mythology: the story of a man who made his visitors fit his bed to perfection by either stretching them or cutting their limbs. With a rare combination of pointed wit and potent wisdom, Taleb plows through human illusions, contrasting the classical views of courage, elegance, and erudition against the modern diseases of nerdiness, philistinism, and phoniness.

Incerto: Fooled by Randomness The Black Swan The Bed of Procrustes Antifragile

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Editorial Reviews

Review

Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb and the Incerto collection

“The hottest thinker in the world.”—The Sunday Times (London)

“[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy.”—The Wall Street Journal

“The most prophetic voice of all . . . a genuinely significant philosopher.”—GQ

“Startling . . . richly crammed with insights, stories, fine phrases and intriguing asides.”—The Wall Street Journal, on Antifragile

“A bold book explaining how and why we should embrace uncertainty, randomness, and error . . . It may just change our lives.”—Newsweek, on Antifragile

“[A book] that altered modern thinking.”—The Times (London), on The Black Swan

“Idiosyncratically brilliant.”—Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times, on The Black Swan

“Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition.”—The New York Times Book Review

“[Fooled by Randomness] is to conventional Wall Street wisdom approximately what Martin Luther’s ninety-five theses were to the Catholic Church.”—Malcolm Gladwell, The New Yorker

“Taleb’s crystalline nuggets of thought stand alone like esoteric poems.”—Financial Times, on The Bed of Procrustes

About the Author

Nassim Nicholas Taleb spent two decades as a trader and risk taker before becoming a full-time essayist and scholar focusing on practical, philosophical, and mathematical problems with chance, luck, and probability. His focus is on how different systems handle disorder. Taleb is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University’s School of Engineering, but he spends most of his time in the intense seclusion of his study, or as a flâneur meditating in cafés. Taleb’s books have been published in thirty-five languages.

Series: Incerto
Paperback: 1568 pages
Publisher: Random House Trade Paperbacks; Box edition (November 15, 2016)
Language: English
ISBN-10: 0399590455
ISBN-13: 978-0399590450
Product Dimensions: 5.4 x 4.6 x 8.4 inches
Shipping Weight: 4.2 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
Average Customer Review: 18 customer reviews
Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #76,894 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
- #126 in Books > Business & Money > Investing > Stocks
- #158 in Books > Business & Money > Finance > Corporate Finance
- #2432 in Books > Politics & Social Sciences > Philosophy

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Top customer reviews

The chronic, but silent world of BS vendors is dutifully exposed - with wit, intellectual rigor, entertainment! Thanks NNT

Bytreygilberton November 18, 2016

Format: PaperbackVerified Purchase

I'm horrible at writing reviews, but......
If you are tired of the blatant BS prescribed by the media, academia, large corporations, and government in this country (and worldwide)
If you are tired of the formulaic monotony that plagues our books and learning experience
If you are in the mood for a human conversation, not an excel spreadsheet (i.e. 13 step program on how to live)
If you would rather learn from a friend, and not some know-it-all "therapist" or tenured university professor
If you are in the mood for some witty, intellectual philosophy (the doer, not cubicle type)
And if you are willing to admit that "you don't know" and "can't predict"
Then, order the INCERTO, and reread often.

0Comment 24 people found this helpful. Was this review helpful to you?YesNo

A must have for everyone's library

ByChris Curtinon December 5, 2016

Format: PaperbackVerified Purchase

I am in commercial finance (Taleb makes fun of my ilk) and I find his views on risk to be enlightening. I cannot stress enough how this is a must read for everyone with "skin in the game". If you read this before or during your first course in college statistics, you probably will get kicked out by the "no skin in the game" professor.

0Comment 11 people found this helpful. Was this review helpful to you?YesNo

bold and surprisingly funny. Not for the faint of heart or the ...

ByPeter Smithon December 9, 2016

Format: Kindle EditionVerified Purchase

Insightful, bold and surprisingly funny. Not for the faint of heart or the uninquiring mind, however.

0Comment 6 people found this helpful. Was this review helpful to you?YesNo

Nassim Nicholas Taleb is one of the best thinkers about analyzing complex social problems and human behavior

ByAmazon Customeron July 28, 2017

Format: PaperbackVerified Purchase

Nassim Nicholas Taleb is one of the best thinkers about analyzing complex social problems and human behavior. His books are informative and provocative, and leave you pondering their messages for years afterward. Anyone interested in human behavior and its intersection with economics needs to read these books. After reading them, you will see that most of the literature in management, leadership and related topics are outright junk.

0Comment One person found this helpful. Was this review helpful to you?YesNo

This will change your life.

ByEric Kimon November 23, 2016

Format: Paperback

This book set will change your life-- how you live life, see randomness, and how you can profit from uncertainty in the world. Thank you NNT.

0Comment 2 people found this helpful. Was this review helpful to you?YesNo

An Unusual Group of Books!

ByPatrick O. Hardyon May 16, 2017

Format: Kindle EditionVerified Purchase

A very unusual book or books, however u want to look at it. The first group of books I have ever seen that characterizes taking calculated risks as opposed to straight out gambles or no risk at all.

0Comment 2 people found this helpful. Was this review helpful to you?YesNo

Great new packaging

ByNaton February 12, 2017

Format: PaperbackVerified Purchase

I'd already read all of the books, but this packaging is fantastic. Something about it together as a series feels right.

0Comment 3 people found this helpful. Was this review helpful to you?YesNo

Five Stars

ByAmazon Customeron June 20, 2017

Format: PaperbackVerified Purchase

I am so glad I bought this.

0Comment 2 people found this helpful. Was this review helpful to you?YesNo

Most recent customer reviews

Interesting ideas. Over the top Pompous and badly written.

I will be honest I did not finish the book. It was pretty much awful. I did skim though much of it though. Its both badly written and over the top pompous.Read more

Published 18 days ago by AOL Jack

Bundle sucks, Great writer

The four books are bundled together as one big book. But they are not in the order in which they were published, which is how i'd like to read them.Read more

Published 29 days ago by NGongora

Easy writing style allows focus on more complex ideas

Very intriguing. Wide ranging in content, sources, and fields. Easy writing style allows focus on more complex ideas.

Published 1 month ago by Jeffrey Heck

Five Stars

Very fascinating

Published 2 months ago by Taha

If your deciding...buy it

This group of books is the best guideline for life.
In terms of price, it is the best education you can buy

Published 3 months ago by Jarrod Beltramo

Great Read. Highly Recommend

Great Read. Highly Recommend!

Published 4 months ago by Brian J Bonney

Five Stars

Amazing!!

Published 5 months ago by Amazon Customer

Enlightenment

Just finishing the last book and will immediately go back and reread them all.

Published 5 months ago by 4bees

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