A history of strategic bombing Hardcover – January 1, 1982
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There was actually evidence that the effects of bombing, both in terms of physical damage and morale effects on the bombing victims, was minuscule. After the war, in 1918 and 1919 both the British and the French were able to assess the results of their bombing of targets in the Rhine and on German railroad centers. Few bombs hit the targets and the resulting damage had almost no effect on railway movements. The Germans also were unable to hit the British arsenal at Woolwich severely -- a target area of two square miles.
All told, the inaccuracy of air navigation and bombsights was such that advocates of mass aerial bombing should nave known better. Bombing in WW II eventually was to prove incredibly destructive, but only after a much higher level of aviation industrial and manufacturing effort was made during the war than had ever been envisioned in the 1920s and 1930s.
Chapter 8 "The Beginnings of the Allied Air Offensive" includes the assessments of the British "Butt Report" of 1941 that only seven planes in 100 dropped their bombs within even the most general neighborhood of the objective.
The remainder of the book then describes the massive American and British strategic bombing efforts against Germany and Japan during 1943 - 1945.